Accommodation statistics: the current issues and an innovation

Accommodation statistics: the current issues and an innovation
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住宿统计:当前问题与创新

DOI:
10.1080/13683500.2021.1978951
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发表时间:
2021
影响因子:
8
通讯作者:
Choi Sunkyung
Choi Sunkyung
中科院分区:
管理学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Van Truong Nguyen;Shimizu Tetsuo;Kurihara Takeshi;Choi Sunkyung

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在旅游住宿统计中,准确性(方差和偏差)是根本。然而,由于两者之间的权衡,最小化估计的方差和偏差是一个挑战。在许多国家,旅游住宿统计,这是普遍发展的无偏线性估计,不太准确。本研究建议整合引导和回归,以克服这一挑战。一个无偏线性估计被用来作为一个基准来研究集成方法的有效性。与现实的住宿在日本的数据,我们发现,集成方法产生的准确性比无偏线性估计的两倍以上的结果。综合方法有助于旅游业住宿统计的创新。
In tourism accommodation statistics, accuracy (variance and bias) is fundamental. However, minimizing both the variance and bias of the estimate is a challenge due to the trade-off between the two. In many countries, tourism accommodation statistics, which popularly developed with the unbiased linear estimator, are less accurate. This study recommends an integration of bootstrap and regression to overcome the challenge. An unbiased linear estimator is used as a benchmark to investigate the integration method’s effectiveness. With realistic accommodation data in Japan, we found that the integration method yields more than two times more accurate results than the unbiased linear estimator. The integration method contributes to an innovation in accommodation statistics in tourism.
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