Thaw processes in ice-rich permafrost landscapes represented with laterally coupled tiles in a land surface model

Thaw processes in ice-rich permafrost landscapes represented with laterally coupled tiles in a land surface model
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富含冰的永久冻土景观的解冻过程以地表模型中的横向耦合瓦片表示

DOI:
10.5194/tc-13-591-2019
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发表时间:
2018
期刊:
The Cryosphere
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
S. Westermann
S. Westermann
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--
文献类型:
--
作者:
K. Aas;L. Martin;Jan Nitzbon;M. Langer;J. Boike;Hanna Lee;T. Berntsen;S. Westermann

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抽象的。地球 系统模型(ESM)是我们预测未来气候的主要工具 变化,但它们代表小尺度陆面过程的能力是 目前有限。对于永久冻土景观来说尤其如此, 过量的地面冰融化和随后的沉降影响横向 可以显著改变土壤条件和热通量的过程, 水和碳排放到大气中。在这里,我们动态地展示了 变化的微地形和相关的雪、水和热的横向通量 可以通过适合于实现的平铺方法来表示 大规模的模型,我们调查这些横向过程是 重要的是再现观察到的景观演变。组合现有 表示过量地面冰、雪再分布和横向的方法 水和能量通量在两个耦合瓦片,我们表明,该模型的方法 可以模拟在两个非常不同的永久冻土中观察到的退化过程 的风景.我们能够模拟从低中心到 高中心多边形,当应用于多边形苔原在寒冷, 连续多年冻土区,这导致(i)一个更现实的 通过高架特征的干燥来表示土壤条件, 降低特征的润湿与能量通量的相关变化,(ii)高达 目前平均永久冻土温度降低了2摄氏度 (2000-2009年)气候,(三)未来永久冻土退化延迟 RCP4.5情景下的情况,以及(四)通过 雪和土壤水反馈机制一旦沉降开始。应用于 在零星的永久冻土带的泥炭高原,同样的两瓦系统可以 代表了一个被永久冻土覆盖的泥炭高地, 多年冻土无围栏及其退化,在未来的适度 变暖的情景这些结果表明, 横向通量来真实地模拟当前的永久冻土状态 以及随着气候持续变暖其退化轨迹。 在ESM中实现横向耦合的瓦片可以改善表示 一系列永久冻土过程,这可能会影响模拟的 永冻层碳反馈的幅度和时间。
Abstract. Earth system models (ESMs) are our primary tool for projecting future climate change, but their ability to represent small-scale land surface processes is currently limited. This is especially true for permafrost landscapes in which melting of excess ground ice and subsequent subsidence affect lateral processes which can substantially alter soil conditions and fluxes of heat, water, and carbon to the atmosphere. Here we demonstrate that dynamically changing microtopography and related lateral fluxes of snow, water, and heat can be represented through a tiling approach suitable for implementation in large-scale models, and we investigate which of these lateral processes are important to reproduce observed landscape evolution. Combining existing methods for representing excess ground ice, snow redistribution, and lateral water and energy fluxes in two coupled tiles, we show that the model approach can simulate observed degradation processes in two very different permafrost landscapes. We are able to simulate the transition from low-centered to high-centered polygons, when applied to polygonal tundra in the cold, continuous permafrost zone, which results in (i) a more realistic representation of soil conditions through drying of elevated features and wetting of lowered features with related changes in energy fluxes, (ii) up to 2 ∘C reduced average permafrost temperatures in the current (2000–2009) climate, (iii) delayed permafrost degradation in the future RCP4.5 scenario by several decades, and (iv) more rapid degradation through snow and soil water feedback mechanisms once subsidence starts. Applied to peat plateaus in the sporadic permafrost zone, the same two-tile system can represent an elevated peat plateau underlain by permafrost in a surrounding permafrost-free fen and its degradation in the future following a moderate warming scenario. These results demonstrate the importance of representing lateral fluxes to realistically simulate both the current permafrost state and its degradation trajectories as the climate continues to warm. Implementing laterally coupled tiles in ESMs could improve the representation of a range of permafrost processes, which is likely to impact the simulated magnitude and timing of the permafrost–carbon feedback.
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影响因子: 5.1
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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0095-z
发表时间: 2018-04-01
影响因子: 30.7
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发表时间: 2016-10
影响因子: 30.7
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影响因子: 11.1
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