EU membership, financial services and stability

EU membership, financial services and stability
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欧盟成员身份、金融服务和稳定性

DOI:
10.1177/002795011623600105
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发表时间:
2020
影响因子:
2.1
通讯作者:
Armstrong A
Armstrong A
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Armstrong A

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本文探讨了欧盟成员国身份是否会增强或削弱英国金融业的稳定性,从而影响其在全球金融中的地位。英国是欧盟最大的金融服务市场,尽管它不在欧元区之内。一个重要原因是,作为欧盟成员国,英国可以直接使用欧元区的金融基础设施。如果英国退出欧盟(和欧洲经济区),银行和其他金融服务公司可能继续进入单一市场,但它们不太可能直接进入欧元区的基础设施。英国银行将不再是欧元区支付系统的直接成员。欧洲央行(ECB)和英国央行(BoE)之间的互换安排将没有法律的执行机制。解决跨境银行问题将更具挑战性,合作成果的动力也会减少。虽然有些人可能会欢迎金融体系规模的缩小,但这不是没有理由的,但通过国内监管比离开欧盟更有效。考虑到投票决定退出欧盟后的不确定性,存在资本外逃的风险。
This paper examines whether EU membership enhances or diminishes the UK's financial sector stability, and therefore its prominence in global finance. The UK is host to the largest share of financial services in the EU, despite being outside of the Eurozone. An important reason is that, as a member of the EU, the UK has direct access to the Eurozone's financial infrastructure. If the UK leaves the EU (and EEA) banks and other financial services firms may continue to have access to the Single Market, but they are unlikely to have direct access to the Eurozone's infrastructure. Banks in the UK will no longer be direct members the Eurozone's payments system. The swap arrangement between the European Central Bank and Bank of England would have no legal enforcement mechanism. Resolution of cross-border banks would be more challenging with less incentive for a cooperative outcome. While some may welcome the reduced size of the financial system, not without reason, this could be achieved more effectively with domestic regulation than by leaving the EU. Given the uncertainty that would follow a vote to leave, there is a risk of capital flight.
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