Estimated preventable COVID-19-associated deaths due to non-vaccination in the United States.
Estimated preventable COVID-19-associated deaths due to non-vaccination in the United States.
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DOI：
10.1007/s10654-023-01006-3
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发表时间：
2023-11
影响因子：
13.6
通讯作者：
Swerdlow, David L.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Jia, Katherine M.;Hanage, William P.;Lipsitch, Marc;Johnson, Amelia G.;Amin, Avnika B.;Ali, Akilah R.;Scobie, Heather M.;Swerdlow, David L.
虽然一些研究先前估计了COVID-19疫苗接种挽救的生命，但我们估计了美国有多少死亡可以通过疫苗接种避免，但不是因为未能接种疫苗。我们使用了一种基于全国代表性数据集的简单方法，估计了2021年5月30日至2022年9月3日美国未接种疫苗的人群中可预防的死亡人数，并根据年龄和时间的影响进行了调整。我们估计，如果未接种疫苗的成年人至少接种了一个初级系列疫苗，那么在15个月内，至少可以预防232，000例死亡。虽然可预防死亡的确切数量存在不确定性，并且需要更多关于导致接种疫苗和未接种疫苗组之间死亡率差异的其他因素的颗粒数据来为这些估计提供信息，但这种方法是对SARS-CoV-2引起的疫苗可预防死亡的快速评估，具有重要的公共卫生意义。同样的快速方法可用于未来的突发公共卫生事件。在线版本包含补充材料，可通过10.1007/s10654 - 023 - 01006 - 3获取。
While some studies have previously estimated lives saved by COVID-19 vaccination, we estimate how many deaths could have been averted by vaccination in the US but were not because of a failure to vaccinate. We used a simple method based on a nationally representative dataset to estimate the preventable deaths among unvaccinated individuals in the US from May 30, 2021 to September 3, 2022 adjusted for the effects of age and time. We estimated that at least 232,000 deaths could have been prevented among unvaccinated adults during the 15 months had they been vaccinated with at least a primary series. While uncertainties exist regarding the exact number of preventable deaths and more granular data are needed on other factors causing differences in death rates between the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups to inform these estimates, this method is a rapid assessment on vaccine-preventable deaths due to SARS-CoV-2 that has crucial public health implications. The same rapid method can be used for future public health emergencies. The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10654-023-01006-3.
影响因子：
13.8
作者：
Vilches TN;Moghadas SM;Sah P;Fitzpatrick MC;Shoukat A;Pandey A;Galvani AP
通讯作者：
Galvani AP
DOI：
10.1016/j.lana.2021.100085
发表时间：
2022-01
期刊：
Lancet regional health. Americas
影响因子：
--
作者：
Shoukat A;Vilches TN;Moghadas SM;Sah P;Schneider EC;Shaff J;Ternier A;Chokshi DA;Galvani AP
通讯作者：
Galvani AP
影响因子：
1.8
作者：
Bonvini, Matteo;Kennedy, Edward H.;Wasserman, Larry
通讯作者：
Wasserman, Larry