The Non-U.S. Bank Demand for U.S. Dollar Assets

The Non-U.S. Bank Demand for U.S. Dollar Assets
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非美国

DOI:
--
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发表时间:
2020
期刊:
IMF Working Papers
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Peichu Xie
Peichu Xie
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
T. Adrian;Peichu Xie

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非美国银行的美元资产份额反映了这些投资者对美元的需求。工具变量策略确定了美元资产份额与美元汇率之间的因果关系。横截面资产定价测试表明,美元资产份额是一个非常重要的套利交易策略的定价因素。美元资产份额预测美元具有经济上的大幅度,高统计显著性和大解释力,无论是在样本内还是样本外,都指向随时间变化的风险溢价。汇率风险溢价在应对需求冲击时需要2-5年的时间才能正常化。
The USD asset share of non-U.S. banks captures the demand for dollars by these investors. An instrumental variable strategy identifies a causal link from the USD asset share to the USD exchange rate. Cross-sectional asset pricing tests show that the USD asset share is a highly significant pricing factor for carry trade strategies. The USD asset share forecasts the dollar with economically large magnitude, high statistical significance, and large explanatory power, both in sample and out of sample, pointing towards time varying risk premia. It takes 2-5 years for exchange rate risk premia to normalize in response to demand shocks.
汇率重新连接
DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_00978
发表时间: 2022
期刊: The Review of Economics and Statistics
影响因子: --
作者:
Lilley, Andrew;Maggiori, Matteo;Neiman, Brent;Schreger, Jesse
通讯作者: Schreger, Jesse