Livestock production: recent trends, future prospects.
Livestock production: recent trends, future prospects.
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DOI：
10.1098/rstb.2010.0134
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发表时间：
2010-09-27
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Thornton PK
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Thornton PK
全球畜牧业具有很强的活力。在发展中国家，它正在发展，以应对对畜产品迅速增长的需求。在发达国家，对畜产品的需求停滞不前，而许多生产系统正在提高效率和环境可持续性。畜产品需求的历史性变化在很大程度上是由人口增长、收入增长和城市化推动的，不同畜牧系统的生产反应与科学技术和动物数量的增加有关。未来，自然资源的竞争，特别是土地和水的竞争，食物和饲料之间的竞争，以及在碳限制的经济中运营的需要，将越来越多地影响生产。育种、营养和动物健康方面的发展将继续有助于增加潜在产量，进一步提高效率和遗传收益。畜牧业生产可能会越来越多地受到碳限制以及环境和动物福利立法的影响。未来对畜产品的需求可能会受到社会经济因素的严重影响，例如人类健康问题和不断变化的社会文化价值观。这些因素在未来几十年将如何在世界不同地区发挥作用，仍存在相当大的不确定性。
The livestock sector globally is highly dynamic. In developing countries, it is evolving in response to rapidly increasing demand for livestock products. In developed countries, demand for livestock products is stagnating, while many production systems are increasing their efficiency and environmental sustainability. Historical changes in the demand for livestock products have been largely driven by human population growth, income growth and urbanization and the production response in different livestock systems has been associated with science and technology as well as increases in animal numbers. In the future, production will increasingly be affected by competition for natural resources, particularly land and water, competition between food and feed and by the need to operate in a carbon-constrained economy. Developments in breeding, nutrition and animal health will continue to contribute to increasing potential production and further efficiency and genetic gains. Livestock production is likely to be increasingly affected by carbon constraints and environmental and animal welfare legislation. Demand for livestock products in the future could be heavily moderated by socio-economic factors such as human health concerns and changing socio-cultural values. There is considerable uncertainty as to how these factors will play out in different regions of the world in the coming decades.
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影响因子：
1.8
作者：
Deuffic, Philippe;Candau, Jacqueline
通讯作者：
Candau, Jacqueline
影响因子：
3.5
作者：
Hare, E;Norman, HD;Wright, JR
通讯作者：
Wright, JR
影响因子：
2.2
作者：
Butler, WR
通讯作者：
Butler, WR
影响因子：
2.6
作者：
Gandini, GC;Villa, E
通讯作者：
Villa, E
DOI：
10.1079/asc200689
发表时间：
2006-10-01
期刊：
ANIMAL SCIENCE
影响因子：
--
作者：
King, J. M.;Parsons, D. J.;Wathes, C. M.
通讯作者：
Wathes, C. M.