Interactions among common non-SARS-CoV-2 respiratory viruses and influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on their circulation in New York City.
Interactions among common non-SARS-CoV-2 respiratory viruses and influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on their circulation in New York City.
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DOI：
10.1111/irv.12976
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发表时间：
2022-07
影响因子：
4.4
通讯作者：
Yang, Wan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yuan, Haokun;Yeung, Alice;Yang, Wan
关键词：
COVID-19大流行期间的非药物干预（NPI）和自愿行为改变影响了非SARS-CoV-2呼吸道感染的传播。我们旨在研究常见的非SARS-CoV-2呼吸道病毒之间的相互作用，并进一步估计COVID-19大流行对这些病毒的影响。我们分析了2015年10月至2021年5月期间纽约市（NYC）七组呼吸道病毒的发病率数据（即，在COVID-19大流行之前和期间）。我们首先使用弹性网络回归来识别潜在的病毒相互作用，并通过比较有和没有相互作用的季节性自回归综合移动平均（SARIMA）模型的性能，进一步研究了所发现的相互作用的鲁棒性。然后，我们使用模型计算每种病毒在2020年3月至2021年5月的COVID-19大流行期间的累积发病率的反事实估计值，并估计其减少情况。我们确定了三种地方性人类冠状病毒（CoV ‐ NL 63、CoV ‐ HKU和CoV ‐ OC 43）、副流感病毒（PIV）-1、鼻病毒和呼吸道合胞病毒（RSV）的潜在相互作用。我们发现，在COVID-19大流行期间，CoV-OC 43、CoV-229 E、人偏肺病毒、PIV-2、PIV-4、RSV和流感病毒的累积发病率显著降低（约70 - 90%）。相比之下，腺病毒和鼻病毒的循环受到的影响较小。在COVID-19大流行期间，几种呼吸道病毒的传播量较低，这可能导致人群易感性增加。因此，必须加强对这些病毒的监测，并迅速采取措施减轻其对健康的影响（例如，流感疫苗接种运动和医院感染预防）。
Non‐pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and voluntary behavioral changes during the COVID‐19 pandemic have influenced the circulation of non‐SARS‐CoV‐2 respiratory infections. We aimed to examine interactions among common non‐SARS‐CoV‐2 respiratory virus and further estimate the impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic on these viruses. We analyzed incidence data for seven groups of respiratory viruses in New York City (NYC) during October 2015 to May 2021 (i.e., before and during the COVID‐19 pandemic). We first used elastic net regression to identify potential virus interactions and further examined the robustness of the found interactions by comparing the performance of Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models with and without the interactions. We then used the models to compute counterfactual estimates of cumulative incidence and estimate the reduction during the COVID‐19 pandemic period from March 2020 to May 2021, for each virus. We identified potential interactions for three endemic human coronaviruses (CoV‐NL63, CoV‐HKU, and CoV‐OC43), parainfluenza (PIV)‐1, rhinovirus, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). We found significant reductions (by ~70–90%) in cumulative incidence of CoV‐OC43, CoV‐229E, human metapneumovirus, PIV‐2, PIV‐4, RSV, and influenza virus during the COVID‐19 pandemic. In contrast, the circulation of adenovirus and rhinovirus was less affected. Circulation of several respiratory viruses has been low during the COVID‐19 pandemic, which may lead to increased population susceptibility. It is thus important to enhance monitoring of these viruses and promptly enact measures to mitigate their health impacts (e.g., influenza vaccination campaign and hospital infection prevention) as societies resume normal activities.
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影响因子：
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作者：
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通讯作者：
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影响因子：
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