Prospective association of childhood receptive vocabulary and conduct problems with self-reported adolescent delinquency: tests of mediation and moderation in sibling-comparison analyses.

Prospective association of childhood receptive vocabulary and conduct problems with self-reported adolescent delinquency: tests of mediation and moderation in sibling-comparison analyses.
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DOI:
10.1007/s10802-014-9873-x
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发表时间:
2014-11
影响因子:
3.6
通讯作者:
Rathouz PJ
Rathouz PJ
中科院分区:
心理学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Lahey BB;D'Onofrio BM;Van Hulle CA;Rathouz PJ

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使用一项前瞻性研究的数据,评估了4-9岁时测量的接受性词汇、4-9岁时母亲报告的儿童行为问题以及14-17岁时自我报告的青少年犯罪之间的关系。在兄弟姐妹比较设计中,一种新的准实验策略被用来通过估计家庭内的路径分析关联来排除家庭水平的混杂。这使得可以同时测试接受性词汇和儿童行为问题的直接和间接影响,以及它们联合调节对青少年犯罪的直接和间接影响,而不会出现家庭层面的环境混乱。接受性词汇与后来的青少年犯罪之间的显著联系是间接的,受到童年行为问题的影响。此外,接受性词汇与儿童行为问题之间的显著交互作用反映了当接受性词汇得分较高时,儿童行为问题与青少年犯罪之间的预测性联系的斜率更大。这些显著的间接关联的发现在人口水平和家庭内的分析中在质量上是相同的,这表明它们不是家庭水平混乱的结果。
Associations among receptive vocabulary measured at 4–9 years, mother-reported childhood conduct problems at 4–9 years, and self-reported adolescent delinquency at 14–17 years were assessed using data from a prospective study of the offspring of a large U.S. nationally representative sample of women. A novel quasi-experimental strategy was used to rule out family-level confounding by estimating path-analytic associations within families in a sibling comparison design. This allowed simultaneous tests of the direct and indirect effects of receptive vocabulary and childhood conduct problems, and of their joint moderation, on adolescent delinquency without family-level environmental confounding. The significant association of receptive vocabulary with later adolescent delinquency was indirect, mediated by childhood conduct problems. Furthermore, a significant interaction between receptive vocabulary and childhood conduct problems reflected a steeper slope for the predictive association between childhood conduct problems and adolescent delinquency when receptive vocabulary scores were higher. These findings of significant indirect association were qualitatively identical in both population-level and within-family analyses, suggesting that they are not the result of family-level confounds.
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