The relative ineffectiveness of criminal network disruption.
The relative ineffectiveness of criminal network disruption.
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DOI：
10.1038/srep04238
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发表时间：
2014-02-28
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
Sloot PM
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Duijn PA;Kashirin V;Sloot PM
全球的研究人员、政策制定者和执法机构都在努力寻找控制犯罪网络的有效策略。中断策略的有效性取决于网络拓扑结构和网络弹性。然而，由于这些犯罪网络是秘密运作的，有关不同犯罪网络破坏策略有效性的数据驱动知识非常有限。通过将计算建模和社会网络分析与荷兰警方独特的犯罪网络情报数据相结合，我们发现，与普遍看法相反，在有针对性的攻击之后，犯罪网络甚至可能变得“更强大”。另一方面，犯罪网络内部效率的提高降低了其内部安全性，从而为执法机构提供了更有针对性地针对这些网络的机会。我们的研究结果强调了在犯罪网络有机会（重新）组织到最大弹性之前，在早期阶段进行犯罪网络干预的重要性。最终，破坏策略迫使犯罪网络变得更加暴露，这使得成功的网络破坏成为一项长期努力。
Researchers, policymakers and law enforcement agencies across the globe struggle to find effective strategies to control criminal networks. The effectiveness of disruption strategies is known to depend on both network topology and network resilience. However, as these criminal networks operate in secrecy, data-driven knowledge concerning the effectiveness of different criminal network disruption strategies is very limited. By combining computational modeling and social network analysis with unique criminal network intelligence data from the Dutch Police, we discovered, in contrast to common belief, that criminal networks might even become ‘stronger’, after targeted attacks. On the other hand increased efficiency within criminal networks decreases its internal security, thus offering opportunities for law enforcement agencies to target these networks more deliberately. Our results emphasize the importance of criminal network interventions at an early stage, before the network gets a chance to (re-)organize to maximum resilience. In the end disruption strategies force criminal networks to become more exposed, which causes successful network disruption to become a long-term effort.
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影响因子：
4.6
作者：
Czaplicka, Agnieszka;Holyst, Janusz A.;Sloot, Peter M. A.
通讯作者：
Sloot, Peter M. A.
影响因子：
3.1
作者：
Burt, RS;Jannotta, JE;Mahoney, JT
通讯作者：
Mahoney, JT
影响因子：
64.8
作者：
Albert, R;Jeong, H;Barabási, AL
通讯作者：
Barabási, AL
影响因子：
2.6
作者：
Coles, N
通讯作者：
Coles, N
影响因子：
2.7
作者：
Gottschalk, Petter
通讯作者：
Gottschalk, Petter