A probability based approach to evaluation of new energy alternatives

A probability based approach to evaluation of new energy alternatives
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基于概率的新能源替代方案评估方法

DOI:
10.1007/978-3-319-49046-5_7
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发表时间:
2016-11
期刊:
Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Hong-Bin Yan
Hong-Bin Yan
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hong-Bin Yan

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开发新的和创新的能源替代品是实现可持续能源系统的关键手段。本文提出了一种新的语言能量规划模型,并将其应用于公共交通。特别地,首先介绍了一种基于概率的方法,该方法基于对评估小组判断的随机解释来执行群体聚合。其次,基于随机优势度的概念,提出了一种加权方法进行多准则聚合,得到了不同方案的总体随机优势度矩阵;第三,基于promehee - ii方法的思想,建立了一个选择函数,对最佳/期望方案进行排序和选择,并将方案分为积极(可接受)和消极(不可接受)两类。利用该模型对12种替代燃料模式下的公共交通技术发展进行了重新评估。
Exploitation of new and innovative energy alternatives is a key means toward a sustainable energy system. This paper proposes a novel model for linguistic energy planning with an application to public transportation. In particular, a probability based approach is firstly introduced to perform group aggregation based on a random interpretation of an evaluation-team’s judgments. Secondly, a weighted approach is proposed to perform multi-criteria aggregation based on the concept of stochastic dominance degree, which results with a matrix of overall stochastic dominance degrees of different alternatives. Thirdly, a choice function based on the idea of the PROMETHEE-II method is developed to rank and select the best/desired alternative(s), which can divide the alternatives into two classes: positive (acceptable) and negative (unacceptable) ones. Our model is used to re-evaluate the technological development of public transportation with 12 alternative fuel modes.
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发表时间: 1965-01-01
影响因子: --
作者:
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