IMF Working Paper Institute for Capacity Development Should We Fear the Robot Revolution ? ( The Correct Answer is Yes ) Prepared by
IMF Working Paper Institute for Capacity Development Should We Fear the Robot Revolution ? ( The Correct Answer is Yes ) Prepared by
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国际货币基金组织工作文件 能力发展研究所 我们应该害怕机器人革命吗？
DOI：
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Luis
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
A. Berg;Edward F. Buffie;Luis
人工智能和机器人技术的进步可能会引发一场新的工业革命。本文提出了一个具有最小必要特征的模型来分析不平等和产出的含义。两个假设是关键：“机器人”资本与传统资本的不同之处在于它对人力的可替代性;只有资本家和技术工人才会储蓄。我们分析了一系列变量，这些变量反映了对自动化如何改变劳动力市场的不同看法。我们的主要结果令人惊讶地稳健：自动化有利于增长，不利于平等;在基准模型中，真实的工资在短期内下降，最终上升，但“最终”很容易需要几代人的时间。JEL分类号：E23、E25、O30、O 40。
Advances in artificial intelligence and robotics may be leading to a new industrial revolution. This paper presents a model with the minimum necessary features to analyze the implications for inequality and output. Two assumptions are key: “robot” capital is distinct from traditional capital in its degree of substitutability with human labor; and only capitalists and skilled workers save. We analyze a range of variants that reflect widely different views of how automation may transform the labor market. Our main results are surprisingly robust: automation is good for growth and bad for equality; in the benchmark model real wages fall in the short run and eventually rise, but “eventually” can easily take generations. JEL Classification Numbers: E23, E25, O30, O40.
影响因子：
8.2
作者：
Acemoglu, Daron;Restrepo, Pascual
通讯作者：
Restrepo, Pascual