Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain.
Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain.
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DOI：
10.1038/s41598-017-06212-0
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发表时间：
2017-07-24
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
Budge GE
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Keeling MJ;Franklin DN;Datta S;Brown MA;Budge GE
黄腿或亚洲黄蜂（Vespa velutina）原产于东南亚，是包括蜜蜂在内的授粉昆虫的贪婪捕食者。自2004年偶然引入法国西南部以来，V. velutina已传播到西欧大部分地区。V. velutina在英国的存在于2016年9月首次得到证实。最初入侵后的可能动态尚不确定，特别是继续传播的风险，以及控制措施的可能成功。在这里，我们从法国的情况推断，以量化在英国的潜在入侵V. velutina。我们发现，如果没有控制，V. velutina可以迅速殖民英国大陆，这取决于亚洲大黄蜂如何应对英国比法国更冷的气候。宣布在萨默塞特发现了第二只大黄蜂，增加了入侵首次发生在2016年之前的可能性。因此，我们考虑了第一次入侵的可能地点以及2016年底和2017年初其他发现巢穴的概率位置。考虑到V. velutina的潜在扩散，我们得出结论，需要在大面积上保持警惕，以防止建立这种对传粉者种群的威胁。
The yellow-legged or Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) is native to South-East Asia, and is a voracious predator of pollinating insects including honey bees. Since its accidental introduction into South-Western France in 2004, V. velutina has spread to much of western Europe. The presence of V. velutina in Great Britain was first confirmed in September 2016. The likely dynamics following an initial incursion are uncertain, especially the risk of continued spread, and the likely success of control measures. Here we extrapolate from the situation in France to quantify the potential invasion of V. velutina in Great Britain. We find that, without control, V. velutina could colonise the British mainland rapidly, depending upon how the Asian hornet responds to the colder climate in Britain compared to France. The announcement that a second hornet had been discovered in Somerset, increases the chance that the invasion first occurred before 2016. We therefore consider the likely site of first invasion and the probabilistic position of additional founding nests in late 2016 and early 2017. Given the potential dispersion of V. velutina, we conclude that vigilance is required over a large area to prevent the establishment of this threat to the pollinator population.
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DOI：
10.1073/pnas.0806040105
发表时间：
2008-09-09
影响因子：
11.1
作者：
Pasquet, Remy S.;Peltier, Alexis;Gepts, Paul
通讯作者：
Gepts, Paul
大黄蜂物种黑色化模式的地理变异：遗传差异、气候压力还是警戒限制？
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Perrard A;Arca M;Rome Q;Muller F;Tan J;Bista S;Nugroho H;Baudoin R;Baylac M;Silvain JF;Carpenter JM;Villemant C
通讯作者：
Villemant C
影响因子：
1.3
作者：
Arca, Mariangela;Papachristoforou, Alexandros;Arnold, Gerard
通讯作者：
Arnold, Gerard
影响因子：
1.3
作者：
Franklin DN;Brown MA;Datta S;Cuthbertson AGS;Budge GE;Keeling MJ
通讯作者：
Keeling MJ
DOI：
10.1098/rsif.2013.0650
发表时间：
2013-11-06
期刊：
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface
影响因子：
--
作者：
Datta S;Bull JC;Budge GE;Keeling MJ
通讯作者：
Keeling MJ