Estimating the severity of COVID-19: Evidence from the Italian epicenter.
Estimating the severity of COVID-19: Evidence from the Italian epicenter.
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DOI：
10.1371/journal.pone.0239569
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发表时间：
2020
期刊：
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
Puca M
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Buonanno P;Galletta S;Puca M
我们利用官方和原始数据来源提供了意大利伦巴第大区和贝加莫省COVID-19超额死亡率水平的结果。自2020年2月以来，伦巴第，特别是贝加莫省受到新型COVID-19传染病的严重打击。结合官方统计数据、回顾性数据和原始数据（即讣告和死亡通知），我们提供了与COVID-19直接或间接相关的死亡人数以及感染总人数的初步估计。我们的研究结果表明，公共当局报告的COVID-19死亡人数仅占2020年3月至前几年观察到的超额死亡率的一半。
We provide results on the level of COVID-19 excess mortality in the Italian region of Lombardy and in the province of Bergamo using official and original data sources. Since February 2020 Lombardy and in particular the province of Bergamo have been severely hit by the novel COVID-19 infectious disease. Combining official statistics, retrospective data and original data (i.e., obituaries and death notices) we provide a tentative estimate of the number of deaths either directly or indirectly, associated with COVID-19 as well as the total number of persons infected. Our findings suggest that the reported number of deaths attributable to COVID-19 identified by public authorities accounts only for one half of the observed excess mortality between March 2020 and previous years.
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影响因子：
39.3
作者：
De Rosa, Salvatore;Spaccarotella, Carmen;Indolfi, Ciro
通讯作者：
Indolfi, Ciro
影响因子：
19
作者：
Mizumoto, Kenji;Kagaya, Katsushi;Chowell, Gerardo
通讯作者：
Chowell, Gerardo
DOI：
10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30243-7
发表时间：
2020-06-01
期刊：
The Lancet. Infectious diseases
影响因子：
--
作者：
Verity, Robert;Okell, Lucy C;Ferguson, Neil M
通讯作者：
Ferguson, Neil M
影响因子：
39
作者：
Weinberger, Daniel M.;Chen, Jenny;Viboud, Cecile
通讯作者：
Viboud, Cecile
影响因子：
64.8
作者：
Donnelly, CA
通讯作者：
Donnelly, CA