Confounder-adjusted MRI-based predictors of multiple sclerosis disability.

Confounder-adjusted MRI-based predictors of multiple sclerosis disability.
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DOI:
10.3389/fradi.2022.971157
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发表时间:
2022
期刊:
Frontiers in radiology
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Bielekova, Bibiana
Bielekova, Bibiana
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Kim, Yujin;Varosanec, Mihael;Kosa, Peter;Bielekova, Bibiana

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衰老和多发性硬化症(MS)都会导致中枢神经系统(CNS)萎缩。MS中的过度脑萎缩被解释为“加速老化”。目前的论文测试了另一种假设:MS通过与生理老化不同的机制引起CNS萎缩。因此,减去生理混杂因素对CNS结构的影响将分离MS特异性效应。在ClinicalTrials.gov标识符:NCT 00794352方案中招募的646名参与者中前瞻性获得标准化脑MRI和神经系统检查。通过自动化病变-TOADS算法和脊髓造影,以盲法回顾性测量CNS体积。通过逐步多元线性回归消除80名健康志愿者中发现的生理混杂因素。在非MS队列(n = 158)中评估了混杂因素调整的MRI特征的MS特异性。MS患者被随机分为训练(n = 277)和验证(n = 131)队列。在MS训练队列中,根据四种残疾量表,从未调整和调整混杂因素的CNS体积生成梯度增强机(GBM)模型。混杂因素校正强调MS特异性CNS白色物质进行性丢失。从训练到交叉验证,再到独立验证队列,GBM模型性能大幅下降,但所有模型预测认知和身体残疾的p值和效应量都较低,优于基于最近荟萃分析的已发表文献。在验证队列中,从混杂因素调整的MRI预测因子构建的模型优于从未调整的预测因子构建的模型。来自混淆因素调整的体积MRI特征的GBM模型反映了MS特异性CNS损伤,并且由于与脑萎缩相比与临床结局的相关性更强,因此应在未来的MS临床试验中探索这些模型。
Both aging and multiple sclerosis (MS) cause central nervous system (CNS) atrophy. Excess brain atrophy in MS has been interpreted as “accelerated aging.” Current paper tests an alternative hypothesis: MS causes CNS atrophy by mechanism(s) different from physiological aging. Thus, subtracting effects of physiological confounders on CNS structures would isolate MS-specific effects. Standardized brain MRI and neurological examination were acquired prospectively in 646 participants enrolled in ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00794352 protocol. CNS volumes were measured retrospectively, by automated Lesion-TOADS algorithm and by Spinal Cord Toolbox, in a blinded fashion. Physiological confounders identified in 80 healthy volunteers were regressed out by stepwise multiple linear regression. MS specificity of confounder-adjusted MRI features was assessed in non-MS cohort (n = 158). MS patients were randomly split into training (n = 277) and validation (n = 131) cohorts. Gradient boosting machine (GBM) models were generated in MS training cohort from unadjusted and confounder-adjusted CNS volumes against four disability scales. Confounder adjustment highlighted MS-specific progressive loss of CNS white matter. GBM model performance decreased substantially from training to cross-validation, to independent validation cohorts, but all models predicted cognitive and physical disability with low p-values and effect sizes that outperform published literature based on recent meta-analysis. Models built from confounder-adjusted MRI predictors outperformed models from unadjusted predictors in the validation cohort. GBM models from confounder-adjusted volumetric MRI features reflect MS-specific CNS injury, and due to stronger correlation with clinical outcomes compared to brain atrophy these models should be explored in future MS clinical trials.
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发表时间: 2021
影响因子: 4.3
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DOI: 10.1016/s1474-4422(10)70131-9
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期刊: LANCET NEUROLOGY
影响因子: 48
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