Testing the accuracy of an observation-based classifier for rapid detection of autism risk.

Testing the accuracy of an observation-based classifier for rapid detection of autism risk.
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DOI:
10.1038/tp.2014.65
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发表时间:
2014-08-12
影响因子:
6.8
通讯作者:
Wall DP
Wall DP
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Duda M;Kosmicki JA;Wall DP

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目前诊断自闭症的方法具有很高的诊断有效性,但很耗时,并且可能导致官方诊断的延迟。在一项试点研究中,我们使用机器学习来推导出一个分类器,该分类器的长度比金标准自闭症诊断观察计划-通用(ADOS-G)减少了72%,同时保留了>97%的统计准确性。这项试点研究集中在一个相对较小的样本,有自闭症和没有自闭症的儿童。本研究旨在进一步测试的分类器(称为基于观察的分类器(OBC))的准确性上的2616名儿童评分使用ADOS从5个数据库,包括频谱(n=2333)和非频谱(n=283)个人的独立样本。我们根据原始和当前ADOS算法提供的结局、最佳估计临床诊断以及与ADOS-2相关的比较评分严重程度指标测试了OBC结局。OBC与ADOS-G(r=-0.814)和ADOS-2(r=-0.779)显著相关,与两种ADOS算法评分相比,其敏感性>97%,特异性>77%。与最佳估计临床诊断的对应性也很高(准确性=96.8%),敏感性为97.1%,特异性为83.3%。OBC评分和比较评分之间的相关性显著(r=-0.628),表明OBC提供了分类以及表型严重程度的测量。这些结果进一步证明了OBC的准确性,并表明减少检测和监测自闭症的过程是可能的。
Current approaches for diagnosing autism have high diagnostic validity but are time consuming and can contribute to delays in arriving at an official diagnosis. In a pilot study, we used machine learning to derive a classifier that represented a 72% reduction in length from the gold-standard Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule-Generic (ADOS-G), while retaining >97% statistical accuracy. The pilot study focused on a relatively small sample of children with and without autism. The present study sought to further test the accuracy of the classifier (termed the observation-based classifier (OBC)) on an independent sample of 2616 children scored using ADOS from five data repositories and including both spectrum (n=2333) and non-spectrum (n=283) individuals. We tested OBC outcomes against the outcomes provided by the original and current ADOS algorithms, the best estimate clinical diagnosis, and the comparison score severity metric associated with ADOS-2. The OBC was significantly correlated with the ADOS-G (r=−0.814) and ADOS-2 (r=−0.779) and exhibited >97% sensitivity and >77% specificity in comparison to both ADOS algorithm scores. The correspondence to the best estimate clinical diagnosis was also high (accuracy=96.8%), with sensitivity of 97.1% and specificity of 83.3%. The correlation between the OBC score and the comparison score was significant (r=−0.628), suggesting that the OBC provides both a classification as well as a measure of severity of the phenotype. These results further demonstrate the accuracy of the OBC and suggest that reductions in the process of detecting and monitoring autism are possible.
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