How can an agent-based model explore the impact of interventions on children's physical activity in an urban environment?

How can an agent-based model explore the impact of interventions on children's physical activity in an urban environment?
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DOI:
10.1016/j.healthplace.2021.102688
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发表时间:
2021-11
期刊:
影响因子:
4.8
通讯作者:
Mitchell R
Mitchell R
中科院分区:
医学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Almagor J;Martin A;McCrorie P;Mitchell R

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大多数儿童和青少年的身体活动不足(PA)是一个全球性问题,正在破坏许多发展和健康益处的实现。本研究的目的是探讨潜在的影响,干预措施对PA使用代理为基础的模型(ABM)模拟儿童的日常活动在城市环境中。三个领域的干预措施进行了探讨:户外游戏,学校体育和积极的旅行。模拟干预增加了儿童的平均每日中度到剧烈PA 2-13分钟,并降低了儿童不符合PA指南的百分比,从34%到10%-29%,这取决于干预。积极旅行和户外游戏的推广使社会经济地位较高的人受益更多。代理人的相互作用表明:鼓励不同群体的活动将减少人口中最不活跃的百分比;在社区发起户外活动可以对儿童参与PA产生增强效应。《反弹道导弹条约》为难以用简化方法估计的干预措施提供了可衡量的成果。我们建议,ABMs应更普遍地使用,以探索社会环境PA系统的复杂性。我们开发了一个基于代理的模型,模拟儿童的日常身体活动。智能体在格拉斯哥城市的虚拟城市模型中执行典型的日常活动。模拟探索干预措施对户外游戏,学校,积极旅行的影响。促进积极旅行对不同社会经济地位的人产生了不同的影响。户外游戏干预产生了身体活动的非线性增加。
Insufficient physical activity (PA) among most children and adolescents is a global problem that is undermining the realisation of numerous developmental and health benefits. The aim of this study was to explore the potential impact of interventions on PA by using an agent-based model (ABM) simulating children's daily activities in an urban environment. Three domains for interventions were explored: outdoor play, school physical education and active travel. Simulated interventions increased children's average daily moderate-to-vigorous PA by 2–13 min and reduced the percentage of children not meeting PA guidelines, from 34% to 10%–29%, depending on the intervention. Promotion of active travel and outdoor play benefited more those in a higher socio-economic position. Agents' interactions suggested that: encouraging activity in diverse groups will reduce percentage of the least active in the population; and initiating outdoor events in neighbourhoods can generate an enhancing effect on children's engagement in PA. The ABM provided measurable outcomes for interventions that are difficult to estimate using reductionist methods. We suggest that ABMs should be used more commonly to explore the complexity of the social-environmental PA system. We developed an agent-based model simulating children's daily physical activity. Agents perform typical daily activities in a virtual urban model of Glasgow city. Simulations explore impact of interventions on outdoor play, school, active travel. Promotion of active travel had a differential impact across socio-economic position. Outdoor play intervention produced a non-linear increase in physical activity.
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