Ignoring the Messenger? Limits of Populist Rhetoric on Public Support for Foreign Development Aid

Ignoring the Messenger? Limits of Populist Rhetoric on Public Support for Foreign Development Aid
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DOI:
10.1093/isq/sqab041
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发表时间:
2022
影响因子:
2.6
通讯作者:
Bayram A
Bayram A
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bayram A

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民粹主义的反援助言论对公众舆论的负面影响,迄今为止都是基于传闻报道。在这里,我们对这一调查进行了系统和实证的研究。我们假设,即使民粹主义的言论减少了捐助国公众对外国发展援助的支持,这种影响是由个人对民粹主义领导人的预先存在的信念。利用美国和英国成年人代表性样本进行的原始调查实验的数据,我们发现,暴露于不同的民粹主义框架的变体降低了个人支持政府通过国际组织提供发展援助的意愿。然而,这种影响受到人们是否认为民粹主义领导人站出来为小人物或替罪羊外团体。将对外援助和民粹主义文献联系起来,我们的结果表明,全球发展的未来可能并不像民粹主义时代之前担心的那样黯淡。
The negative impact of populist anti-aid rhetoric on public opinion has been based on anecdotal reports to date. Here, we take a systematic and empirical look at this inquiry. We hypothesize that even though populist rhetoric decreases support for foreign development aid in donor publics, this effect is conditioned by individuals’ preexisting beliefs about populist leaders. Using data from original survey experiments conducted with representative samples of American and British adults, we find that exposure to different variants of populist frames decreases individuals’ willingness to support their government providing development aid through an international organization. However, this effect is moderated by whether people think populist leaders stand up for the little guy or scapegoat out-groups. Connecting foreign aid and populism literatures, our results suggest that the future of global development might not be as bleak as previously feared in the age of populism.
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