The Observed Longitudinal Relationship between Future Orientation and Substance Use Among a Cohort of Youth with Serious Criminal Offenses.
The Observed Longitudinal Relationship between Future Orientation and Substance Use Among a Cohort of Youth with Serious Criminal Offenses.
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DOI：
10.1080/10826084.2018.1441311
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发表时间：
2018-10-15
影响因子：
2
通讯作者：
Mulvey E
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Brooks M;Miller E;Abebe K;Mulvey E
未来导向是青年发展的重要内容，包括目标、对生活的期望和规划未来的能力。本研究使用未来取向的多维测量来评估未来取向的变化与物质使用变化之间的关系。数据来自“坚持之路”研究。司法涉及青年（n = 1354），在招募时年龄为14至18岁，每六个月完成一次面试，为期三年。先验地选择了多种措施作为未来方向的要素。在评估了未来取向的新测量的心理测量学之后，我们运行混合效应交叉滞后面板模型来评估未来取向的变化与物质使用（烟草、大麻、烈性毒品和酒精）之间的关系。未来取向与所有物质使用结果之间存在显著的双向关系。调整后的模型考虑了不同的地点、性别、年龄、种族、父母教育程度和在设施中花费的时间比例。在调整后的模型中，较高水平的未来倾向导致未来时间点的物质使用增加较小。在青少年罪犯样本中，未来取向和物质使用相互影响。治疗药物使用障碍也可能增加未来导向，更普遍地促进青少年的积极发展。本研究扩展了我们对未来取向变化与药物使用水平变化之间的纵向关系的理解，在一个涉及高水平药物使用的青少年的司法样本中，这是一个相当大的临床和政策利益群体。
Future orientation (FO), an essential construct in youth development, encompassing goals, expectations for life, and ability to plan for the future. This study uses a multidimensional measure of future orientation to assess the relationship between change in future orientation and change in substance use over time. Data were from the Pathways to Desistence study. Justice involved youth (n = 1,354), ages 14 to 18 at time of recruitment, completed interviews every six months for three years. Multiple measures were chosen a priori as elements of future orientation. After evaluating the psychometrics of a new measure for future orientation, we ran mixed effects cross-lagged panel models to assess the relationship between changes in future orientation and substance use (tobacco, marijuana, hard drugs, and alcohol). There was a significant bidirectional relationship between future orientation and all substance use outcomes. Adjusted models accounted for different sites, sex, age, ethnicity, parental education, and proportion of time spent in a facility. In adjusted models, higher levels of future orientation resulted in smaller increases in substance use at future time points. Future orientation and substance use influence each other in this sample of adolescent offenders. Treating substance use disorders is also likely to increase future orientation, promoting positive youth development more generally. This study expands our understanding of the longitudinal relationship between changes in future orientation and changes in levels of substance use in a sample of justice involved youth with high levels of substance use, a group of considerable clinical and policy interest.
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DOI：
10.1080/10705519909540118
发表时间：
1999-01-01
影响因子：
6
作者：
Hu, Li-tze;Bentler, Peter M.
通讯作者：
Bentler, Peter M.
影响因子：
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影响因子：
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通讯作者：
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影响因子：
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作者：
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通讯作者：
Laftman, Sara B.
影响因子：
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作者：
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通讯作者：
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