Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU): Why It Is Still Not Widely Used
Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU): Why It Is Still Not Widely Used
复制标题
最佳估计加不确定性 (BEPU)：为什么它仍未得到广泛使用
DOI：
10.1080/00295450.2019.1627122
复制
发表时间：
2019
影响因子：
1.5
通讯作者：
F. Dubois
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
E. Ivanov;G. Bruna;A. Sargeni;F. Dubois
摘要 辐射防护与核安全研究所（IRSN）作为法国公共当局的技术支持机构，参与核安全与辐射防护政策的制定。在其当前活动的框架内，IRSN 对不同的安全评估方法进行分析和比较，包括最佳估计加不确定性 (BEPU) 等。尽管 BEPU 尚未在世界范围内得到认可，但作者认为它是刺激新一代数值工具和高保真实验数据参与核安全评估和核技术开发的一种有前途的方法。本文基于科学背景以及当前实践，从技术和全球角度讨论了 BEPU 的促成因素和限制因素，以及其在监管和更广泛的决策过程中的潜在作用。
Abstract As a technical support organization for French Public Authorities, the Institute for Radioprotection and Nuclear Safety (IRSN) shall participate in policy making on nuclear safety and radiation protection. In the framework of its current activity, the IRSN performs analysis and comparison of different safety assessment approaches, including Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU), among others. Although BEPU is not yet recognized worldwide, the authors consider it a promising way to stimulate the involvement of a new generation of numerical tools and high-fidelity experiment data for nuclear safety assessment and development of nuclear technology. This paper discusses enabling factors and constraints for BEPU from technical and global points of view, relying on scientific background as well as current practice with respect to its potential role in regulation and, more generally, in a decision-making process.
DOI：
10.1080/02626667.2015.1031761
发表时间：
2016-07-01
期刊：
HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
影响因子：
--
作者：
Beven, Keith
通讯作者：
Beven, Keith