The success rate of online illicit drug transactions during a global pandemic.

The success rate of online illicit drug transactions during a global pandemic.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.drugpo.2021.103452
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发表时间:
2022-01
期刊:
The International journal on drug policy
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Villeneuve-Dubuc MP
Villeneuve-Dubuc MP
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bergeron A;Décary-Hétu D;Giommoni L;Villeneuve-Dubuc MP

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在COVID-19疫情爆发后的几个月里,欧洲药物和药物成瘾监测中心(EMCDDA; 2020)观察到加密市场的使用有所增加,这导致他们质疑加密市场是否构成了一个更方便的渠道,可以在没有任何面对面接触的情况下分发非法药物。然而,随着更多国家的边境关闭,加密市场可能受到负面影响。我们的目标是通过记录加密市场交易结果的自我报告数据,衡量和了解在COVID-19疫情持续期间加密市场交易的成功率。为了收集有关加密市场交易的自我报告数据,我们推出了一个平台,参与者可以在该平台上输入有关其先前在加密市场上的活动的信息。样本包括2020年1月1日至2020年8月21日期间收到的591份有效自我报告。随着疫情在全球蔓延,不成功交易的数量也随之增加。交易的国际性和洲际性以及供应商所在国危机的严重性都与交货失败有很大关系。药物加密市场可能因大流行而中断。结果导致两个相反的解释不成功的交易。成功率较低的一个原因是毒贩无法兑现过去真诚作出的承诺,而第二个原因是毒贩的机会主义和滥用行为。
In the months following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction (EMCDDA; 2020) observed an increased use of cryptomarkets, which led them to question whether cryptomarkets constituted a more convenient channel via which to distribute illicit drugs without any in-person contact. However, as more countries' borders closed, the likelihood is that cryptomarkets have been negatively impacted. We aim to measure and understand the success rate of transactions on cryptomarkets during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, through recourse to self-reported data that documents the outcome of cryptomarket transactions. To collect self-reported data on cryptomarket transactions, we launched a platform where participants can enter information about their prior activities on cryptomarkets. The sample consists of 591 valid self-reports that were received between January 1st, 2020 and August 21st, 2020. The number of unsuccessful transactions increased concurrently with the global spread of the pandemic. Both the international and inter-continental nature of the transactions and the severity of the crisis in the vendor's country are significantly associated with delivery failure. Drug cryptomarkets may have been disrupted due to the pandemic. The results lead to two opposing explanations for unsuccessful transactions. One explanation for the lower success rate is the inability of drug dealers to deliver on past promises that were made in good faith, while the second points towards opportunistic and abusive behaviour by drug dealers.
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