Breaking up is hard to count: the rise of divorce in the United States, 1980-2010.
Breaking up is hard to count: the rise of divorce in the United States, 1980-2010.
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DOI：
10.1007/s13524-013-0270-9
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发表时间：
2014-04
期刊：
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Ruggles, Steven
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Kennedy, Sheela;Ruggles, Steven
这篇文章批判性地评估了美国离婚趋势的现有数据。我们发现，1990年后离婚的人口统计数据和回顾性调查数据都低估了最近的婚姻不稳定性。这些有缺陷的数据让一些分析人士得出结论，过去30年里，离婚率一直保持稳定或在下降。利用美国社区调查（American Community Survey）的新数据，并控制已婚人口年龄构成的变化，我们得出结论，1990年至2008年间，年龄标准化离婚率实际上大幅上升。在过去的二十年里，35岁以上人群的离婚率翻了一番。然而，在最年轻的夫妇中，离婚率稳定或下降。如果目前的趋势继续下去，总体的年龄标准化离婚率在未来几十年可能会趋于平稳甚至下降。我们认为，1980年以后出生的人的离婚率持平可能反映了婚姻的选择性越来越强。
This article critically evaluates the available data on trends in divorce in the United States. We find that both vital statistics and retrospective survey data on divorce after 1990 underestimate recent marital instability. These flawed data have led some analysts to conclude that divorce has been stable or declining for the past three decades. Using new data from the American Community Survey and controlling for changes in the age composition of the married population, we conclude that there was actually a substantial increase in age-standardized divorce rates between 1990 and 2008. Divorce rates have doubled over the past two decades among persons over age 35. Among the youngest couples, however, divorce rates are stable or declining. If current trends continue, overall age-standardized divorce rates could level off or even decline over the next few decades. We argue that the leveling of divorce among persons born since 1980 probably reflects the increasing selectivity of marriage.
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影响因子：
1.6
作者：
Chowdhury, Abdur
通讯作者：
Chowdhury, Abdur
影响因子：
3.5
作者：
MARTIN, TC;BUMPASS, LL
通讯作者：
BUMPASS, LL
影响因子：
2.1
作者：
Martin, Steven P.
通讯作者：
Martin, Steven P.
DOI：
10.2307/351506
发表时间：
1983-01-01
期刊：
JOURNAL OF MARRIAGE AND THE FAMILY
影响因子：
--
作者：
NORTON, AJ
通讯作者：
NORTON, AJ
影响因子：
6
作者：
Cherlin, AJ
通讯作者：
Cherlin, AJ