Google shopping queries for vaping products, JUUL and IQOS during the E-cigarette, or Vaping, product use Associated Lung Injury (EVALI) outbreak.
Google shopping queries for vaping products, JUUL and IQOS during the E-cigarette, or Vaping, product use Associated Lung Injury (EVALI) outbreak.
复制标题
DOI：
10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2021-056481
复制
发表时间：
2022-08
期刊：
影响因子：
5.2
通讯作者：
Purushothaman V
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Leas EC;Moy NH;Nobles AL;Ayers J;Zhu SH;Purushothaman V
为评估2019年末美国与电子烟相关的肺部疾病爆发[“电子烟或电子烟产品使用相关肺损伤”（EVALI）]是否影响了电子烟产品和IQOS加热烟草的在线购物搜索，我们通过分析在疫情首次报道（2019年7月29日那周）后直至住院情况停止（2020年2月16日那周）期间表明购物的谷歌搜索率（例如，购买IQOS），追踪了电子烟、JUUL和IQOS的在线购物搜索情况。我们将疫情期间观察到的购物率与使用自回归迭代移动平均模型拟合2014年1月1日至2019年7月21日那周的搜索数据所预测的反事实预期率进行了比较。
在疫情期间，电子烟购物搜索比预期低34%（95%置信区间：30 - 38），JUUL购物搜索比预期低39%（95%置信区间：34 - 45），这意味着搜索量分别减少了约720万次和100万次。IQOS购物搜索比预期高58%（95%预测区间：34 - 87），意味着搜索量增加了3.5万次。此外，在IQOS被讨论为电子烟的一种潜在安全替代品的那周（2019年9月29日那周），其购物搜索达到了历史新高，比该周预期率高382%（95%预测区间：219 - 881）。
这些结果表明，诸如EVALI爆发等意外事件会引发产品使用流行病学的变化。应禁止烟草公司在未经事先批准的情况下利用疾病爆发等事件将其产品定位为危害较小的产品。
To assess whether the late 2019 US outbreak of pulmonary disease linked to vaping [“E-cigarette, or Vaping, product use Associated Lung Injury” (EVALI)] impacted online shopping queries for vaping products and IQOS heated tobacco. We tracked online shopping queries for vape(s), JUUL and IQOS by analyzing rates of Google queries indicative of shopping (e.g., buy IQOS) after news of the outbreak was first reported (the week of July 29, 2019) until hospitalizations ceased (the week of February 16, 2020). We compared observed rates of shopping during the outbreak to counterfactual expected rates that were predicted using an autoregressive iterative moving average model fit to queries from January 1, 2014 to the week of July 21, 2019. During the outbreak, vape shopping queries were 34% (95%CI: 30–38) lower than expected and JUUL shopping queries were 39% (95%CI: 34–45) lower than expected, translating into about 7.2 million and 1.0 million fewer searches. IQOS shopping queries were 58% (95%PI: 34–87) higher than expected, translating into 35 thousand more searches. Moreover, IQOS shopping queries reached a historic high the week they were discussed as a potentially safe alternative to vaping (the week of September 29, 2019), when they were 382% (95%PI: 219–881) above expected rates for the week. These results suggest that unplanned events, such as the EVALI outbreak, can provoke changes in the epidemiology of product usage. Tobacco companies should be prohibited from using events such as disease outbreaks to position their products as less harmful without prior approval.
登录
查看更多内容
影响因子：
1.6
作者：
Copeland, Adam
通讯作者：
Copeland, Adam
影响因子：
5.2
作者：
Huang J;Duan Z;Kwok J;Binns S;Vera LE;Kim Y;Szczypka G;Emery SL
通讯作者：
Emery SL
影响因子：
5.5
作者：
Ayers, John W.;Althouse, Benjamin M.;Williams, Rebecca S.
通讯作者：
Williams, Rebecca S.
影响因子：
5.8
作者：
Hyndman, Rob J.;Khandakar, Yeasmin
通讯作者：
Khandakar, Yeasmin
DOI：
10.1073/pnas.1005962107
发表时间：
2010-10-12
影响因子：
11.1
作者：
Goel, Sharad;Hofman, Jake M.;Watts, Duncan J.
通讯作者：
Watts, Duncan J.