Rapid mortality surveillance using a national population register to monitor excess deaths during SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in South Africa.
Rapid mortality surveillance using a national population register to monitor excess deaths during SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in South Africa.
复制标题
在南非SARS-COV-2大流行期间，使用全国人口登记册的快速死亡率监测来监测过多的死亡。
DOI：
10.1186/s41118-021-00134-6
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发表时间：
2021
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Bradshaw D
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Dorrington RE;Moultrie TA;Laubscher R;Groenewald PJ;Bradshaw D
本文介绍了如何最新的国家人口登记记录死亡的年龄和性别，死亡是由于自然或非自然原因，以及死亡记录的办公室可以用来监测多余的死亡在SARS-CoV-2大流行期间，无论是国家，次国家，在一个国家的生命登记系统，既不是最新的，也不是完整的。除了提出一种估计国家以下一级报告完整性的方法外，该应用程序还产生了死亡人数的估计，超过了在没有SARS-CoV-2疫情的情况下的预期死亡人数，这些死亡人数与一段时间内确认的COVID-19死亡人数高度相关，但比COVID-19死亡人数高出2. 5至3倍。将观察到的超额死亡更精确地分配给COVID、COVID相关和附带死亡，以及通过减少流动性和聚集等干预措施避免的非COVID死亡，需要实时获取死因信息建议应利用ICD-10向ICD-11过渡的机会，从纸质系统转向电子捕获医疗死因信息。
This paper describes how an up-to-date national population register recording deaths by age and sex, whether deaths were due to natural or unnatural causes, and the offices at which the deaths were recorded can be used to monitor excess death during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, both nationally, and sub-nationally, in a country with a vital registration system that is neither up to date nor complete. Apart from suggesting an approach for estimating completeness of reporting at a sub-national level, the application produces estimates of the number of deaths in excess of those expected in the absence of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic that are highly correlated with the confirmed number of COVID-19 deaths over time, but at a level 2.5 to 3 times higher than the official numbers of COVID-19 deaths. Apportioning the observed excess deaths more precisely to COVID, COVID-related and collateral deaths, and non-COVID deaths averted by interventions with reduced mobility and gatherings, etc., requires access to real-time cause-of-death information. It is suggested that the transition from ICD-10 to ICD-11 should be used as an opportunity to change from a paper-based system to electronic capture of the medical cause-of-death information.
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影响因子：
2
作者：
Li, Cheng;Mi, Hong
通讯作者：
Mi, Hong
影响因子：
2.2
作者：
Bradshaw, D.;Dorrington, R. E.;Groenewald, P.
通讯作者：
Groenewald, P.
DOI：
10.20947/s0102-3098a0102
发表时间：
2019-01-01
期刊：
Revista Brasileira de Estudos de População
影响因子：
--
作者：
Jubithana, Andrea Fernand;Queiroz, Bernardo Lanza
通讯作者：
Queiroz, Bernardo Lanza
影响因子：
3.8
作者：
Garcia, Jenny;Torres, Catalina;Robine, Jean-Marie
通讯作者：
Robine, Jean-Marie
DOI：
10.7196/samjnew.8019
发表时间：
2015-07-01
期刊：
SAMJ: South African Medical Journal
影响因子：
--
作者：
Groenewald, P;Azevedo, V;Bradshaw, D
通讯作者：
Bradshaw, D