Global Income Divergence, Trade and Industrialization: The Geography of Growth Take-Offs

Global Income Divergence, Trade and Industrialization: The Geography of Growth Take-Offs
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全球收入分化、贸易和工业化:增长起飞的地理

DOI:
10.2139/ssrn.92169
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发表时间:
1998
期刊:
Development Economics
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Philippe Martin
Philippe Martin
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
R. Baldwin;G. Ottaviano;Philippe Martin

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本文朝着正式确定工业革命后四种现象之间的理论联系迈出了一步:富裕北方国家的工业化和增长起飞、全球收入的巨大分化以及贸易的快速扩张。具体来说,我们提出了一个增长阶段模型,其中四种现象是共同内生的,并且都是由国际营商成本逐渐下降引发的。第一阶段,贸易成本高,产业分散,增速低。第二阶段,北方工业化快速发展,经济起飞,南方分化。在第三阶段,高增长变得自我维持。该模型表明,在第四阶段,南方在什么条件下可以快速实现工业化和融合。
This paper takes a step towards formalizing the theoretical interconnections among four post-Industrial Revolution phenomena - the industrialization and growth take-off of rich northern' nations, massive global income divergence, and rapid trade expansion. Specifically, we present a stages-of-growth model in which the four phenomena are jointly endogenous and all are triggered by a gradual fall in the cost of doing business internationally. In the first stage, while trade costs are high, industry is dispersed and growth is low. In the second stage, the north industrializes rapidly, growth takes off and the south diverges. In the third stage, high growth becomes self sustaining. The model shows under which conditions, in a fourth stage, the south can quickly industrialize and converge.
DOI: 10.7551/mitpress/6389.001.0001
发表时间: 1999-06
期刊: --
影响因子: --
作者:
Masahisa Fujita;P. Krugman;A. Venables
通讯作者: Masahisa Fujita;P. Krugman;A. Venables
DOI: 10.1257/aer.90.4.806
发表时间: 2000-09-01
影响因子: 10.7
作者:
Galor, O;Weil, DN
通讯作者: Weil, DN