MODELLING LONG TERM IMPLICATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION ON SHORE MORPHOLOGY OF NORTH NORFOLK, UK, COMBINING TOMAWAC AND SCAPE
MODELLING LONG TERM IMPLICATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION ON SHORE MORPHOLOGY OF NORTH NORFOLK, UK, COMBINING TOMAWAC AND SCAPE
复制标题
结合 TOMAWAC 和 SCAPE 模拟气候变化预测对英国诺福克北部海岸形态的长期影响
DOI：
10.9753/icce.v32.sediment.61
复制
发表时间：
2011
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
R. Nicholls
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Nicolas Chini;P. Stansby;M. Walkden;Jim W Hall;J. Wolf;J. Lowe;R. Nicholls
近岸海域对气候变化的响应评价是海岸带管理的重要课题。为了预测气候变化的潜在影响，已经实施了一个数值模型框架，根据TOMAWAC的近岸波浪传播输入SCAPE的海岸线建模，将全球预测缩小到侵蚀海岸线。有了这个框架，其组成部分已经校准和验证，一套一致的全球气候变化预测用于估计未来的演变，一个非工程海岸线。海岸线的响应对未来的情景是敏感的，这就需要在非平稳过程的预测中包括长期的大规模近海条件。
Assessment of nearshore response to climatic change is an important issue for coastal management. To predict potential effects of climate change, a framework of numerical models has been implemented which enables the downscaling of global projections to an eroding coastline, based on TOMAWAC for inshore wave propagation input into SCAPE for shoreline modelling. With this framework, components of which have already been calibrated and validated, a set of consistent global climate change projections is used to estimate the future evolution of an un-engineered coastline. The response of the shoreline is sensitive to the future scenarios, underlying the need for long term large scale offshore conditions to be included in the prediction of non-stationary processes.
影响因子：
4.4
作者：
Chini, Nicolas;Stansby, Peter;Lowe, Jason
通讯作者：
Lowe, Jason