Trends in U.S., past-year marijuana use from 1985 to 2009: an age-period-cohort analysis.
Trends in U.S., past-year marijuana use from 1985 to 2009: an age-period-cohort analysis.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2012.01.020
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发表时间：
2012-08-01
影响因子：
4.2
通讯作者：
Koester, Stephen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Miech, Richard;Koester, Stephen
我们提出了一个正式的年龄段队列分析，以检查最近在年轻人中过去一年大麻使用的增加是特定于年轻一代的，或者，相反，它是所有年龄段队列普遍增加的一部分。这是对过去一年大麻使用的第一次年龄段队列分析，其中包括2001-09年的成人趋势。数据来自全国药物使用和健康调查，这是一系列对美国平民，非机构化人口的年度，全国代表性，横断面调查。分析的重点是从1985年至2009年的25年时间跨度，并使用最近开发的“内在估计”算法来估计年龄，时期和队列的独立影响。去年大麻使用的增加并不是最年轻的出生群体所独有的。队列成员对过去一年大麻使用的独立，积极影响，历史时期和年龄效应的净影响，对于今天最年轻的队列来说比之前的队列要小，事实上，处于三十年来的最低水平。最近年轻人使用大麻的增加与所有群体的历史时期效应更加一致。西班牙裔的时期和队列趋势差异很大。推动过去一年大麻使用趋势的主要力量正在从特定的群体因素转向影响所有年龄段群体的广泛影响。旨在应对去年大麻使用增加的战略性公共卫生和政策努力也应该这样做。
We present a formal age-period-cohort analysis to examine if the recent increase in past-year marijuana use among the young is specific to the younger generation or if, instead, it is part of a general increase present across cohorts of all ages. This is the first age-period-cohort analysis of past-year marijuana use that includes adult trends from 2001–09. Data come from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health, a series of annual, nationally-representative, cross-sectional surveys of the U.S. civilian, non-institutionalized population. The analysis focuses on the 25 year time span from 1985–2009 and uses the recently developed ‘intrinsic estimator’ algorithm to estimate independent effects of age, period, and cohort. The recent increase in past-year marijuana use is not unique to the youngest birth cohorts. An independent, positive influence of cohort membership on past-year marijuana use, net of historical period and age effects, is smaller for today’s youngest cohorts than it was for the cohorts that came immediately before, and, in fact, is at its lowest level in three decades. The recent increase in marijuana use among the young is more consistent with a historical period effect that has acted across all cohorts. Period and cohort trends differ substantially for Hispanics. The major forces that drive trends in past-year marijuana use are moving away from cohort-specific factors and toward broad-based influences that affect cohorts of all ages. Strategic public health and policy efforts aimed at countering the recent increase in past-year marijuana use should do the same.
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DOI：
10.1177/003803850203600408
发表时间：
2002-11-01
影响因子：
2.9
作者：
Parker, H;Williams, L;Aldridge, J
通讯作者：
Aldridge, J
影响因子：
4.2
作者：
Kerr, William C.;Greenfield, Thomas K.;Rehm, Jurgen
通讯作者：
Rehm, Jurgen
影响因子：
4.4
作者：
Yang, Yang;Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam;Land, Kenneth C.
通讯作者：
Land, Kenneth C.
DOI：
10.3109/10826088309033049
发表时间：
1983-01-01
期刊：
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF THE ADDICTIONS
影响因子：
--
作者：
OMALLEY, PM;BACHMAN, JG;JOHNSTON, LD
通讯作者：
JOHNSTON, LD
影响因子：
6
作者：
Keyes, Katherine M.;Schulenberg, John E.;Hasin, Deborah
通讯作者：
Hasin, Deborah