Loss of cultural world heritage and currently inhabited places to sea-level rise
Loss of cultural world heritage and currently inhabited places to sea-level rise
复制标题
海平面上升导致世界文化遗产和目前居住地的丧失
DOI：
10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034001
复制
发表时间：
2014
影响因子：
6.7
通讯作者：
A. Levermann
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
B. Marzeion;A. Levermann
世界人口集中在海岸附近，联合国教科文组织定义的大量世界文化遗产也是如此。使用空间上明确的海平面估计为未来2000年和高分辨率的地形数据，我们计算目前的文化遗产将受到海平面上升在不同程度的持续未来变暖。作为未来文化遗产所受压力的指标，我们估算了每个国家面积损失的百分比，以及在不同温度水平下，目前生活在永久低于海平面地区的人口的百分比。如果目前的全球平均气温在未来两千年持续下去，大约6%（40个地点）的教科文组织地点将受到影响，全球陆地面积的0.7%将低于平均海平面。这些数字增加到19%（136个站点）和1.1%的变暖3 K。在这种变暖水平下，3-12个国家将失去目前一半以上的陆地面积，25-36个国家将失去至少10%的领土，全球7%的人口目前生活在低于当地海平面的地区。考虑到大气中二氧化碳的千年寿命，我们的研究结果表明，需要就人类文化遗产作出根本性决定。
The world population is concentrated near the coasts, as are a large number of Cultural World Heritage sites, defined by the UNESCO. Using spatially explicit sea-level estimates for the next 2000 years and high-resolution topography data, we compute which current cultural heritage sites will be affected by sea-level rise at different levels of sustained future warming. As indicators for the pressure on future cultural heritage we estimate the percentage of each country’s area loss, and the percentage of current population living in regions that will be permanently below sea level, for different temperature levels. If the current global mean temperature was sustained for the next two millennia, about 6% (40 sites) of the UNESCO sites will be affected, and 0.7% of global land area will be below mean sea level. These numbers increase to 19% (136 sites) and 1.1% for a warming of 3 K. At this warming level, 3–12 countries will experience a loss of more than half of their current land surface, 25–36 countries lose at least 10% of their territory, and 7% of the global population currently lives in regions that will be below local sea level. Given the millennial scale lifetime of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, our results indicate that fundamental decisions with regard to mankind’s cultural heritage are required.
影响因子：
14.6
作者：
Martijn Gough
通讯作者：
Martijn Gough
影响因子：
64.8
作者：
Naish, T.;Powell, R.;Williams, T.
通讯作者：
Williams, T.