Symptom clusters in COVID-19: A potential clinical prediction tool from the COVID Symptom Study app.
Symptom clusters in COVID-19: A potential clinical prediction tool from the COVID Symptom Study app.
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DOI:
10.1126/sciadv.abd4177
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发表时间:
2021-03
期刊:
影响因子:
13.6
通讯作者:
Ourselin S
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Sudre CH;Lee KA;Lochlainn MN;Varsavsky T;Murray B;Graham MS;Menni C;Modat M;Bowyer RCE;Nguyen LH;Drew DA;Joshi AD;Ma W;Guo CG;Lo CH;Ganesh S;Buwe A;Pujol JC;du Cadet JL;Visconti A;Freidin MB;El-Sayed Moustafa JS;Falchi M;Davies R;Gomez MF;Fall T;Cardoso MJ;Wolf J;Franks PW;Chan AT;Spector TD;Steves CJ;Ourselin S
Longitudinal clustering of symptoms can predict the need for respiratory support in severe COVID-19. As no one symptom can predict disease severity or the need for dedicated medical support in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), we asked whether documenting symptom time series over the first few days informs outcome. Unsupervised time series clustering over symptom presentation was performed on data collected from a training dataset of completed cases enlisted early from the COVID Symptom Study Smartphone application, yielding six distinct symptom presentations. Clustering was validated on an independent replication dataset between 1 and 28 May 2020. Using the first 5 days of symptom logging, the ROC-AUC (receiver operating characteristic – area under the curve) of need for respiratory support was 78.8%, substantially outperforming personal characteristics alone (ROC-AUC 69.5%). Such an approach could be used to monitor at-risk patients and predict medical resource requirements days before they are required.
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影响因子:
5.3
作者:
Butt, Isabel;Sawlani, Vijay;Geberhiwot, Tarekegn
通讯作者:
Geberhiwot, Tarekegn
影响因子:
3.6
作者:
Wilkerson, R. Gentry;Adler, Jason D.;Brown, Robert
通讯作者:
Brown, Robert
影响因子:
4
作者:
Raiche, Michel;Hebert, Rejean;Dubois, Marie-France
通讯作者:
Dubois, Marie-France
影响因子:
2.3
作者:
Mackett, Alistair J.;Keevil, Victoria L.
通讯作者:
Keevil, Victoria L.
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1672-8467.2020.02.004
发表时间:
2020-03-01
期刊:
Fudan Xuebao (Yixueban)
影响因子:
--
作者:
Zhu Lei;Hu Li-juan
通讯作者:
Hu Li-juan