From abstract futures to concrete experiences: How does political ideology interact with threat perception to affect climate adaptation decisions?

From abstract futures to concrete experiences: How does political ideology interact with threat perception to affect climate adaptation decisions?
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从抽象的未来到具体的经验:政治意识形态如何与威胁感知相互作用以影响气候适应决策?

DOI:
10.1016/j.envsci.2020.07.001
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发表时间:
2020
影响因子:
6
通讯作者:
Spurlock, Danielle
Spurlock, Danielle
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Schwaller, Nora Louise;Kelmenson, Sophie;BenDor, Todd K.;Spurlock, Danielle

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气候变化预测预测的影响将使沿海居民越来越多地面临生存风险,需要积极适应。虽然美国政治中气候变化态度的两极分化是气候适应努力的障碍,但人们还不太清楚政治意识形态如何调解个人如何将抽象的“气候变化”概念与环境风险的具体经验联系起来。在适应决策的背景下理解这一联系很重要,因为许多家庭一级的适应努力的影响在空间和时间上复合,影响到社区的洪灾风险和脆弱性。这篇论文的问题是,政治意识形态如何与威胁感知相互作用,从而影响沿海气候适应决策?我们使用计划行为理论(TPB)和保护动机理论(PMT)来构建这一分析框架。利用对北卡罗来纳州(美国)阿尔贝马尔帕米利科半岛居民(n = 164)的调查,我们检验了居民的主观规范、威胁评估和自我效能感是如何影响他们撤退或地形适应的意图的。我们发现,尽管在气候变化问题上存在政治两极分化,但总的来说,当给出具体的风险例子时,受访者的政治信念似乎与他们保护财产和生计的计划无关。
Climate change forecasts predict impacts that will increasingly expose coastal residents to existential risks, necessitating aggressive adaptation. While the polarization of climate change attitudes in American politics represents a barrier to climate adaptation efforts, it is not well-understood how political ideology mediates how individuals connect the abstract concept of “climate change” to concrete experiences with environmental risks. Understanding this link in the context of adaptation decision-making is important, as the effects of many, household-level adaptation efforts compound over space and time, affecting community flood risk and vulnerability. This paper asks, how do political ideologies interact with threat perception to affect coastal climate adaptation decisions? We frame this analysis using the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and Protection Motivation Theory (PMT). Using responses from a survey of residents (n = 164) in North Carolina’s (USA) Albemarle-Pamlico Peninsula, we examine how measures of residents’ subjective norms, threat-appraisals, and self-efficacy influence their intent to retreat or topographically adapt. We find that, despite political polarization around climate change, generally, when given concrete examples of risk, respondents’ political beliefs appear unrelated to their plans to protect their property and livelihoods.
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