The Great Recession, unemployment and suicide.

The Great Recession, unemployment and suicide.
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DOI:
10.1136/jech-2014-204602
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发表时间:
2015-02
影响因子:
6.3
通讯作者:
Grönqvist H
Grönqvist H
中科院分区:
医学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Norström T;Grönqvist H

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自杀率是如何应对大衰退引发的失业率显著上升的?我们的论文从更广泛的角度对这一问题进行了评估:(1)失业与自杀之间的联系是否受到失业保障程度的影响,以及(2)当前危机对自杀的影响是否与以往经济衰退的影响不同。我们使用1960-2012年期间30个国家的时间序列数据分析了失业与自杀的联系。分别估计了五个福利国家制度(东部,南部,盎格鲁-撒克逊,俾斯麦和斯堪的纳维亚)的失业保护水平不同的固定效应模型。我们加入了一个交互作用项,以捕捉大衰退期间失业可能产生的过度影响。失业率增长最快的是那些失业保障最少的福利国家。失业对男性自杀的影响在所有福利制度中都具有统计学意义,除了斯堪的纳维亚的一个。只有在东欧国家组中,对女性自杀的影响才显著。这种影响有一个明显的梯度,失业保障越不慷慨,影响就越大。在金融危机期间,反映失业可能产生的过度影响的相互作用项并不显著。我们的研究结果表明,失业保障越慷慨,大衰退期间失业率上升对自杀的不利影响就越小。
How have suicide rates responded to the marked increase in unemployment spurred by the Great Recession? Our paper puts this issue into a wider perspective by assessing (1) whether the unemployment-suicide link is modified by the degree of unemployment protection, and (2) whether the effect on suicide of the present crisis differs from the effects of previous economic downturns. We analysed the unemployment-suicide link using time-series data for 30 countries spanning the period 1960–2012. Separate fixed-effects models were estimated for each of five welfare state regimes with different levels of unemployment protection (Eastern, Southern, Anglo-Saxon, Bismarckian and Scandinavian). We included an interaction term to capture the possible excess effect of unemployment during the Great Recession. The largest unemployment increases occurred in the welfare state regimes with the least generous unemployment protection. The unemployment effect on male suicides was statistically significant in all welfare regimes, except the Scandinavian one. The effect on female suicides was significant only in the eastern European country group. There was a significant gradient in the effects, being stronger the less generous the unemployment protection. The interaction term capturing the possible excess effect of unemployment during the financial crisis was not significant. Our findings suggest that the more generous the unemployment protection the weaker the detrimental impact on suicide of the increasing unemployment during the Great Recession.
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