Estimating long-term multivariate progression from short-term data.
Estimating long-term multivariate progression from short-term data.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jalz.2013.10.003
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发表时间:
2014-10
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Donohue MC;Jacqmin-Gadda H;Le Goff M;Thomas RG;Raman R;Gamst AC;Beckett LA;Jack CR Jr;Weiner MW;Dartigues JF;Aisen PS;Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative
Diseases that progress slowly are often studied by observing cohorts at different stages of disease for short periods of time. The Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) follows elders with various degrees of cognitive impairment, from normal to impaired. The study includes a rich panel of novel cognitive tests, biomarkers, and brain images collected every six months for up to six years. The relative timing of the observations with respect to disease pathology is unknown. We propose a general semi-parametric model and iterative estimation procedure to simultaneously estimate pathologic timing and long-term growth curves. The resulting estimates of long-term progression are fine-tuned using cognitive trajectories derived from the long-term “Personnes Agées QUID” (PAQUID) study. We demonstrate with simulations that the method can recover long-term disease trends from short-term observations. The method also estimates temporal ordering of individuals with respect to disease pathology, providing subject-specific prognostic estimates of the time until onset of symptoms. When the method is applied to ADNI data, the estimated growth curves are in general agreement with prevailing theories of the Alzheimer’s disease cascade. Other datasets with common outcome measures can be combined using the proposed algorithm. Software to fit the model and reproduce results with the statistical software R is available as the grace package (http://mdonohue.bitbucket.org/grace/). ADNI data can be downloaded from the Laboratory of NeuroImaging (http://loni.usc.edu).
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影响因子:
9.9
作者:
Jagust, W. J.;Landau, S. M.;Mathis, C. A.
通讯作者:
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DOI:
10.1111/1467-9868.00130
发表时间:
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影响因子:
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作者:
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通讯作者:
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影响因子:
9.9
作者:
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