Climate Change, Directed Innovation, and Energy Transition: The Long-run Consequences of the Shale Gas Revolution

Climate Change, Directed Innovation, and Energy Transition: The Long-run Consequences of the Shale Gas Revolution
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气候变化、定向创新和能源转型:页岩气革命的长期后果

DOI:
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发表时间:
2023
期刊:
Social Science Research Network
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
P. Aghion
P. Aghion
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Daron Acemoglu;David Hémous;Lint Barrage;P. Aghion

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页岩气革命有可能在短期内减少严重依赖煤炭的国家的二氧化碳排放。然而,它也可能阻碍绿色技术的创新,从而导致长期的低排放。我们记录了页岩气革命伴随着绿色电力创新的崩溃。我们建立了一个定向技术变革的模型,在这个模型中,能源的生产使用煤炭,和/或天然气,和/或绿色能源。由于上述权衡,我们得出了页岩气革命在短期内减少排放但在长期内增加排放的条件。然后,我们使用电力生产的数据来校准模型。
The shale gas revolution can potentially reduce CO2 emissions in the short-run in countries which depend heavily on coal. Yet, it may also discourage innovation in green technologies, leading to lower emissions in the long-run. We document that the shale gas revolution was accompanied by a collapse in innovation in green electricity. We build a model of directed technical change where energy is produced using coal, and/or natural gas, and/or a green source of energy. We derive conditions under which, as a result of the above trade-off, the shale gas revolution reduces emissions in the short-run but increases emissions in the long-run. We then use data on electricity production to calibrate the model.
DOI: 10.1086/684581
发表时间: 2012-12
影响因子: 8.2
作者:
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通讯作者: P. Aghion;Antoine Dechezleprêtre;David Hémous;Ralf Martin;J. Van Reenen
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DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3569385
发表时间: 2020
期刊: SSRN Electronic Journal
影响因子: --
作者:
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