Criticality in tumor evolution and clinical outcome.
Criticality in tumor evolution and clinical outcome.
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DOI:
10.1073/pnas.1807256115
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发表时间:
2018-11-20
影响因子:
11.1
通讯作者:
Ruppin E
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Persi E;Wolf YI;Leiserson MDM;Koonin EV;Ruppin E
How mutation and selection co-determine the course of cancer evolution remains an open, fundamental question. We construct a mutation-selection phase diagram, using tumor mutation load (ML) and selection strength (dN/dS) as key variables, and assess their association with clinical outcome. The results reveal a biphasic evolutionary regime whereby beyond a critical ML, tumor fitness decreases with the number of mutations, although the proteome evolves near neutrality—that is, without strong selection. Deviations from neutrality at extreme ML show how positive selection (at low ML) and purifying selection (at high ML) may act to maintain tumor fitness. These results corroborate the existence of a critical state in cancer evolution predicted by theory and have fundamental and likely clinical implications. How mutation and selection determine the fitness landscape of tumors and hence clinical outcome is an open fundamental question in cancer biology, crucial for the assessment of therapeutic strategies and resistance to treatment. Here we explore the mutation-selection phase diagram of 6,721 tumors representing 23 cancer types by quantifying the overall somatic point mutation load (ML) and selection (dN/dS) in the entire proteome of each tumor. We show that ML strongly correlates with patient survival, revealing two opposing regimes around a critical point. In low-ML cancers, a high number of mutations indicates poor prognosis, whereas high-ML cancers show the opposite trend, presumably due to mutational meltdown. Although the majority of cancers evolve near neutrality, deviations are observed at extreme MLs. Melanoma, with the highest ML, evolves under purifying selection, whereas in low-ML cancers, signatures of positive selection are observed, demonstrating how selection affects tumor fitness. Moreover, different cancers occupy specific positions on the ML–dN/dS plane, revealing a diversity of evolutionary trajectories. These results support and expand the theory of tumor evolution and its nonlinear effects on survival.
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影响因子:
7.3
作者:
Gao J;Aksoy BA;Dogrusoz U;Dresdner G;Gross B;Sumer SO;Sun Y;Jacobsen A;Sinha R;Larsson E;Cerami E;Sander C;Schultz N
通讯作者:
Schultz N
DOI:
10.1038/nrc1299
发表时间:
2004-03
期刊:
Nature reviews. Cancer
影响因子:
--
作者:
通讯作者:
--
影响因子:
11.2
作者:
Birkbak NJ;Eklund AC;Li Q;McClelland SE;Endesfelder D;Tan P;Tan IB;Richardson AL;Szallasi Z;Swanton C
通讯作者:
Swanton C
影响因子:
30.8
作者:
Araya CL;Cenik C;Reuter JA;Kiss G;Pande VS;Snyder MP;Greenleaf WJ
通讯作者:
Greenleaf WJ
影响因子:
82.9
作者:
Andor N;Graham TA;Jansen M;Xia LC;Aktipis CA;Petritsch C;Ji HP;Maley CC
通讯作者:
Maley CC