The dynamics of democracy, development and cultural values.
The dynamics of democracy, development and cultural values.
复制标题
民主，发展和文化价值观的动力。
DOI：
10.1371/journal.pone.0097856
复制
发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
Sumpter DJ
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Spaiser V;Ranganathan S;Mann RP;Sumpter DJ
过去几十年来，许多国家的经济、民主体制和公民价值观发生了迅速变化。衡量这些变化的全面数据最近已公开提供。国家之间的相似之处表明，各国在经济、民主和文化价值观方面如何发展存在着共同的基本动力。我们应用一种新的贝叶斯动态系统的方法来识别模型，最好地捕捉复杂的，主要是非线性动态，这些变化的基础。我们表明，一个国家的人类发展指数（HDI）水平首先推动民主，然后推动公民的更高解放。一旦国家的人类发展指数超过某一门槛，就会发生这种变化。数据还表明，财富的增长是有限的，这取决于更高的解放程度。在达到高水平的民主和解放之后，社会往往会走向平衡，而这种平衡并不支持进一步的经济增长。我们的研究结果提供了强有力的经验证据，反对一个流行的政治科学理论，被称为人类发展序列。与这一理论相反，我们发现人权和民主化的实现先于解放价值观的增长。
Over the past decades many countries have experienced rapid changes in their economies, their democratic institutions and the values of their citizens. Comprehensive data measuring these changes across very different countries has recently become openly available. Between country similarities suggest common underlying dynamics in how countries develop in terms of economy, democracy and cultural values. We apply a novel Bayesian dynamical systems approach to identify the model which best captures the complex, mainly non-linear dynamics that underlie these changes. We show that the level of Human Development Index (HDI) in a country drives first democracy and then higher emancipation of citizens. This change occurs once the countries pass a certain threshold in HDI. The data also suggests that there is a limit to the growth of wealth, set by higher emancipation. Having reached a high level of democracy and emancipation, societies tend towards equilibrium that does not support further economic growth. Our findings give strong empirical evidence against a popular political science theory, known as the Human Development Sequence. Contrary to this theory, we find that implementation of human-rights and democratisation precede increases in emancipative values.
登录
查看更多内容
影响因子：
7
作者：
England, RW
通讯作者：
England, RW
影响因子：
4.2
作者：
DUCH, RM;TAYLOR, MA
通讯作者：
TAYLOR, MA
影响因子：
3.6
作者：
Cingranelli, DL;Richards, DL
通讯作者：
Richards, DL
影响因子：
2.4
作者：
Gelman, A
通讯作者：
Gelman, A
影响因子：
2.6
作者：
Abdollahian, Mark A.;Coan, Travis G.;Yesilada, Birol A.
通讯作者：
Yesilada, Birol A.