Prediction of clinical outcomes in primary biliary cirrhosis by serum enhanced liver fibrosis assay.
Prediction of clinical outcomes in primary biliary cirrhosis by serum enhanced liver fibrosis assay.
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DOI:
10.1002/hep.22517
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发表时间:
2008-11
期刊:
影响因子:
13.5
通讯作者:
Rosenberg, William M.
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Mayo, Marlyn J.;Parkes, Julie;Adams-Huet, Beverley;Combes, Burton;Mills, A. S.;Markin, Rodney S.;Rubin, Raphael;Wheeler, Donald;Contos, Melissa;West, A. B.;Saldana, Sandra;Getachew, Yoflas;Butsch, Robert;Luketic, Velimir;Peters, Marion;Di Bisceglie, Adrian;Bass, Nathan;Lake, John;Boyer, Thomas;Martinez, Enrique;Boyer, James;Garcia-Tsao, Guadalupe;Barnes, David;Rosenberg, William M.
Primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) is sometimes diagnosed based upon a positive antimitochondrial antibody in the appropriate clinical setting without a liver biopsy. While a liver biopsy can assess the extent of liver fibrosis and provide prognostic information, serum fibrosis markers avoid biopsy complications, sampling error, and provide results as a continuous variable, which may be more precise than categorical histological stages. The current study was undertaken to evaluate serum fibrosis markers as predictors of clinical progression in a large cohort of PBC patients. Serial liver biopsies and serum samples were collected every 2 years in 161 PBC subjects for a median of 7.3 years. Clinical progression was defined as development of one or more of the following events: varices, variceal bleed, ascites, encephalopathy, liver transplant, or liver-related death. Serum HA, TIMP-1, and PIIINP were measured and entered into the previously validated Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) algorithm. The ability of ELF, histological fibrosis, bilirubin, MELD, and Mayo Risk Score to differentiate between individuals who would experience a clinical event from those who would not was evaluated at different time points. Event-free survival was significantly lower in those with high baseline ELF. Each 1 point increase in ELF was associated with a 3 fold increase in future complications. The prognostic performance of all tests was similar when performed close to the time of the first event. However, at earlier times in the disease process (4 and 6 years prior to the first event), the prognostic performance of ELF was significantly better than MELD or Mayo R score. The ELF algorithm is a highly accurate non-invasive measure of PBC disease severity which provides useful long-term prognostic information.
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通讯作者:
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通讯作者:
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