Recent Kyagar glacier lake outburst flood frequency in Chinese Karakoram unprecedented over the last two centuries

Recent Kyagar glacier lake outburst flood frequency in Chinese Karakoram unprecedented over the last two centuries
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中国喀喇昆仑地区近期克雅嘎冰川湖溃决洪水频率为近两个世纪以来前所未有

DOI:
10.1007/s11069-018-3505-7
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发表时间:
2018-10
期刊:
影响因子:
3.7
通讯作者:
Wang Yetang
Wang Yetang
中科院分区:
工程技术3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Yin Baoling;Zeng Jing;Zhang Yulun;Huai Baojuan;Wang Yetang

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喀喇昆仑山叶尔羌河流域的嘉加尔冰川湖溃决洪水一直是一种严重的自然灾害,威胁着100多万人的生命安全。在1810年至2018年期间,记录了34次Kyagar GLOF事件,其中26次发生在1960年以后,其发生频率达到每十年至少三次。2011年建立的预警系统成功预测了2015年、2016年、2017年和2018年的Kyagar GLOF事件,为喀喇昆仑州GLOF的监测和风险预评估提供了重要参考。
Kyagar glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) have long been a serious nature hazard in Yarkant river basins of the Chinese Karakoram, threatening more than one million people. Between 1810 and 2018, 34 Kyagar GLOF events have been recorded, of which 26 occurred from 1960 onwards and their occurrence frequency reaches at least three times in each decade. An early warning system established in 2011 has successfully predicted the Kyagar GLOF events in 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018, which provides an important reference for the monitoring and risk pre-evaluation of the GLOFs in Karakoram.
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