Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries.

Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries.
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DOI:
10.1186/s40001-020-00456-9
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发表时间:
2020-11-10
影响因子:
4.2
通讯作者:
Klonoff DC
Klonoff DC
中科院分区:
医学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Meo SA;Abukhalaf AA;Alomar AA;AlMutairi FJ;Usmani AM;Klonoff DC

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本研究旨在评估COVID-19大流行期间封锁前15天、封锁期间15天及封锁后15天对27个国家的患病率及死亡率趋势的影响。27个国家是从各大洲随机选出的。有关27个国家因COVID-19疫情而导致的患病率及死亡率趋势的资料乃自世界卫生组织取得,而封锁数据则自有关国家及其部委取得。分析了27个国家在封锁前15天、封锁期间15天和封锁后15天对COVID-19疫情流行率和死亡率的影响。调查结果显示,封锁后15天有下降趋势,但与27个国家封锁前15天和封锁期间15天相比,COVID-19大流行的平均患病率和平均死亡率没有显著下降。病例数的平均增长因子为1.18,死亡率的平均增长因子为1.16。研究结果显示,封锁后15天,COVID-19每日病例数和疾病增长因子呈下降趋势,但患病率和死亡率没有明显下降。
This study aimed to assess the impact of 15 days before, 15 days during, and 15 days after the lockdown on the trends in the prevalence and mortality in 27 countries during COVID-19 pandemic. Twenty-seven countries were randomly selected from the different continents. The information on the trends in the prevalence and mortality due to COVID-19 pandemic in 27 countries was obtained from World Health Organization and lockdown data were obtained from concerned countries and their ministries. The impact of lockdown for 15 days before, 15 days during, and 15 days after the lockdown on the prevalence and mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 27 countries was analyzed. The findings showed that 15 days after the lockdown there was a trend toward a decline, but no significant decline in the mean prevalence and mean mortality rate due to the COVID-19 pandemic compared to 15 days before, and 15 days during the lockdown in 27 countries. The mean growth factor for number of cases was 1.18 and for mortality rate was 1.16. The findings indicate that 15 days after the lockdown, daily cases of COVID-19 and the growth factor of the disease showed a declined trend, but there was no significant decline in the prevalence and mortality.
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