Operational attribution of weather and climate extremes: what next?
Operational attribution of weather and climate extremes: what next?
复制标题
天气和气候极端事件的操作归因：下一步是什么？
DOI：
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发表时间：
2023
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
N. Christidis
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
P. Stott;N. Christidis
近年来，事件归因科学取得了长足的发展。现在人们越来越有兴趣将这门科学付诸实践。这一观点考虑了这样做所涉及的挑战，并提出了进一步发展的一些优先事项。报告的结论是，需要加深对用户对操作归因需求的理解，需要进一步研究以实现对更广泛的极端事件及其影响的归因，必须有更大的操作能力基础才能实现此类活动，并且需要改进沟通结果的策略以供用户成功采用。
The science of event attribution has developed considerably in recent years. There is now a growing interest in making this science operational. This perspective considers the challenges involved in doing this and suggests some priorities for further developments. It concludes that there is a requirement to deepen understanding of user needs for operational attribution, that further research will be needed to enable attribution of a wider variety of extreme events and their impacts, that there will have to be a greater underpinning of operational capability for such activities to be achievable, and that improved strategies for communicating results are needed for successful uptake by users.
影响因子：
7.1
作者：
Hannah R. Parker;E. Boyd;R. Cornforth;R. James;F. Otto;M. Allen
通讯作者：
Hannah R. Parker;E. Boyd;R. Cornforth;R. James;F. Otto;M. Allen