Latin America and the Middle Income Trap
Latin America and the Middle Income Trap
复制标题
拉丁美洲与中等收入陷阱
DOI：
10.2139/ssrn.2473823
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发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Eva Paus
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Eva Paus
2000年代充满希望的经济增长掩盖了拉丁美洲国家面临中等收入陷阱严重威胁的现实。在对中等收入陷阱的文献回顾中，我区分了两种解决中等收入陷阱的方法：一种主要关注缺乏结构性变化，其背后的驱动力以及其展开的国家和全球背景;另一种强调增长放缓，而不考虑时间和地点。我提供了一个扩展的结构性变化的方法，强调当前的全球化进程的影响。一项以生产能力为重点的分析显示，拉丁美洲经济体在社会和企业一级的能力方面存在严重差距，尽管不同指标和国家的差距程度不同。中国和试图从中等收入水平迈向高收入水平的后来小国（智利、多米尼加共和国、约旦、爱尔兰和新加坡）的经验表明，以生产能力为重点的连贯发展战略为促进增长的结构性变革带来了巨大希望。最后，我将讨论拉丁美洲国家为成功实施这一战略以避免中等收入陷阱而必须克服的主要挑战。
Promising economic growth during the 2000s obfuscates the reality that Latin American countries are facing the acute threat of a middle-income trap. In a review of the literature on the middle-income trap I distinguish two approaches to the middle-income trap: one focuses mainly on the lack of structural change, the driving forces behind it, and the national and global context in which it unfolds; the other stresses growth slowdowns irrespective of time and place. I offer an extension of the structural change approach with an emphasis on the implications of the current globalization process. A productive capabilities-focused analysis reveals serious gaps in social and firm-level capabilities in Latin America economies, though the magnitude differs across indicators and countries. The experiences of China and small latecomers trying to move from the middle to the high-income level (Chile, the Dominican Republic, Jordan, Ireland, and Singapore) suggest that a cohesive productive capabilities-focused development strategy holds out great promise for generating growth-enhancing structural change. I conclude with a discussion of the key challenges Latin American countries have to overcome for the successful implementation of such a strategy to avoid the middle-income trap.
影响因子：
1.3
作者：
Jenkins R
通讯作者：
Jenkins R