Chinese Competition and Brazilian Exports of Manufactures
Chinese Competition and Brazilian Exports of Manufactures
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中国竞争与巴西制成品出口
DOI：
10.1080/13600818.2014.881989
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发表时间：
2014
影响因子：
1.3
通讯作者：
Jenkins R
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Jenkins R
近年来，人们开始担心中国竞争对拉美出口，尤其是墨西哥出口的影响。本文表明，巴西制成品出口也受到了负面影响，这反映在巴西出口的“初级化”及其主要客户进口市场份额的下降。使用各种不同的指标来分析巴西出口面临中国竞争的程度。然后应用恒定市场份额分析来估计中国对巴西出口竞争的定量意义。这表明，特别是自2004年以来，巴西在美国、欧盟及其主要拉美市场上的市场都输给了中国。这种情况不仅发生在低技术产品上，而且越来越多地发生在高科技产品上，而且巴西无法通过增加更尖端产品的出口来弥补对中国的损失。研究还发现，全球金融危机后，中国在拉美市场的竞争加剧。
In recent years concerns have been raised over the impact of Chinese competition on Latin American exports, particularly those from Mexico. This article shows that Brazilian manufactured exports too have been negatively affected, and that this has been reflected in the “primarization” of Brazilian exports and a declining share in the import markets of its major customers. A variety of different indicators were used to analyse the extent to which Brazilian exports have faced competition from China. Constant Market Share analysis was then applied to estimate the quantitative significance of Chinese competition for Brazilian exports. This shows that Brazil has lost markets to China in the USA, in the EU and in its major Latin American markets, particularly since 2004. This has occurred not only in low-technology products but also increasingly in high-technology products, and Brazil has not been able to compensate for losses to China through increasing exports of more sophisticated products. It was also found that Chinese competition intensified in the Latin American market following the global financial crisis.
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