Arctic Sea Ice Decline and Geoengineering Solutions: Cascading Security and Ethical Considerations

Arctic Sea Ice Decline and Geoengineering Solutions: Cascading Security and Ethical Considerations
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北极海冰减少和地球工程解决方案:连锁安全和道德考虑

DOI:
10.3390/challe13010022
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发表时间:
2022
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
U. Bhatt
U. Bhatt
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
A. Bennett;T. Bouffard;U. Bhatt

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气候变化正在为整个北极地区的国家和公民带来足够的风险,以保证潜在的激进地球工程解决方案。目前,地球工程解决方案,如表面改性或气溶胶部署,正处于测试和开发的早期阶段。由于实施变革所需的部署规模及其初步性质,这些方法可能会导致不可预见的后果。这些后果的严重程度可能从对当地生态系统的影响到可用太阳能的大规模变化。北极是一个正在经历快速变化、开发和探索兴趣增加的地区,拟议的解决方案有可能对自然和人类系统产生新的风险。本文从证券化、后果主义和风险治理方法的角度探讨了北极地区地球工程解决方案的潜在安全和伦理考虑,并认为需要在国际层面上建立积极主动的框架,特别是应用风险治理方法,以防止或限制地球工程工作带来的负面后果。利用北极治理中已经存在的独特结构,从包容性治理的角度并通过促进对不确定性分析和预防原则的理解,为解决这些问题提供了新的选择。
Climate change is generating sufficient risk for nation-states and citizens throughout the Arctic to warrant potentially radical geoengineering solutions. Currently, geoengineering solutions such as surface albedo modification or aerosol deployment are in the early stages of testing and development. Due to the scale of deployments necessary to enact change, and their preliminary nature, these methods are likely to result in unforeseen consequences. These consequences may range in severity from local ecosystem impacts to large scale changes in available solar energy. The Arctic is an area that is experiencing rapid change, increased development, and exploratory interest, and proposed solutions have the potential to produce new risks to both natural and human systems. This article examines potential security and ethical considerations of geoengineering solutions in the Arctic from the perspectives of securitization, consequentialism, and risk governance approaches, and argues that proactive and preemptive frameworks at the international level, and especially the application of risk governance approaches, will be needed to prevent or limit negative consequences resulting from geoengineering efforts. Utilizing the unique structures already present in Arctic governance provides novel options for addressing these concerns from both the perspective of inclusive governance and through advancing the understanding of uncertainty analysis and precautionary principles.
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发表时间: 2019
影响因子: --
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