Mid-infrared spectroscopy of serum, a promising non-invasive method to assess prognosis in patients with ascites and cirrhosis.

Mid-infrared spectroscopy of serum, a promising non-invasive method to assess prognosis in patients with ascites and cirrhosis.
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DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0185997
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发表时间:
2017
期刊:
影响因子:
3.7
通讯作者:
Bardou-Jacquet E
Bardou-Jacquet E
中科院分区:
综合性期刊3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Le Corvec M;Jezequel C;Monbet V;Fatih N;Charpentier F;Tariel H;Boussard-Plédel C;Bureau B;Loréal O;Sire O;Bardou-Jacquet E

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预后检查在肝硬化和腹水患者的管理中至关重要。生物测试或分数在这种情况下表现不佳。中红外光纤倏逝波光谱法(MIR-FEWS)允许进行全球血清代谢分析,可通过测量血清中更广泛的代谢参数提供更多相关信息。在这里,我们提出了一个MIR-FEWS为基础的预测模型的准确性预测腹水和肝硬化患者的6个月生存期。前瞻性纳入腹水患者,随访6个月。在血清样品中测量MIR-FEWS光谱。利用FADA算法对MIR-FEWS获得的光谱变量进行筛选,并建立MIR模型。通过ROC曲线和90%/10%Monte Carlo交叉验证评估该模型的准确性。将6个月生存期的MIR模型准确性与Child-Pugh和MELD评分进行比较。纳入了119例患者。平均年龄为57.36±13.70岁,MELD评分为16.32±6.26,Child-Pugh评分为9.5±1.83。随访期间,23例患者死亡(20%)。MIR模型的6个月死亡率AUROC为0.90(CI 95:0.88-0.91),MELD为0.77(CI 95:0.66-0.89),Child-Pugh为0.76(CI 95:0.66-0.88)。MELD和Child-Pugh AUROC显著低于MIR模型(分别为p = 0.02和p = 0.02)。多变量logistic回归分析显示,MELD(p<0.05,OR:0.86; CI 95:0.76-0.97)、β受体阻滞剂(p = 0.036;OR:0.20; CI 95:0.04-0.90)和MIR模型(p<0.001; OR:0.50; CI 95:0.37-0.66)与6个月死亡率显著相关。在这项初步研究中,MIR-FEWS比MELD或Child-Pugh评分更准确地评估腹水和肝硬化患者的6个月预后。这些有希望的结果,如果得到更大规模研究的证实,表明中红外光谱可能有助于这些患者的管理。
Prognostic tests are critical in the management of patients with cirrhosis and ascites. Biological tests or scores perform poorly in that situation. Mid-infrared fibre evanescent wave spectroscopy (MIR-FEWS) which allows for global serum metabolic profiling may provide more relevant information by measuring a wider range of metabolic parameters in serum. Here we present the accuracy of a MIR-FEWS based predictive model for the prognosis of 6 months survival in patients with ascites and cirrhosis. Patients with ascites were prospectively included and followed up for 6 months. MIR-FEWS spectra were measured in serum samples. The most informative spectral variables obtained by MIR-FEWS were selected by FADA algorithm and then used to build the MIR model. Accuracy of this model was assessed by ROC curves and 90%/10% Monte Carlo cross-validation. MIR model accuracy for 6 months survival was compared to that of the Child-Pugh and MELD scores. 119 patients were included. The mean age was 57.36±13.70, the MELD score was 16.32±6.26, and the Child-Pugh score was 9.5±1.83. During follow-up, 23 patients died (20%). The MIR model had an AUROC for 6 months mortality of 0.90 (CI95: 0.88–0.91), the MELD 0.77 (CI95: 0.66–0.89) and Child-Pugh 0.76 (CI95: 0.66–0.88). MELD and Child-Pugh AUROCs were significantly lower than that of the MIR model (p = 0.02 and p = 0.02 respectively). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that MELD (p<0.05, OR:0.86;CI95:0.76–0.97), Beta blockers (p = 0.036;OR:0.20;CI95:0.04–0.90), and the MIR model (p<0.001; OR:0.50; CI95:0.37–0.66), were significantly associated with 6 months mortality. In this pilot study MIR-FEWS more accurately assess the 6-month prognosis of patients with ascites and cirrhosis than the MELD or Child-Pugh scores. These promising results, if confirmed by a larger study, suggest that mid infrared spectroscopy could be helpful in the management of these patients.
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