The Implications of Brexit for UK and EU Regional Competitiveness
The Implications of Brexit for UK and EU Regional Competitiveness
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英国脱欧对英国和欧盟区域竞争力的影响
DOI：
10.1080/00130095.2020.1820862
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发表时间：
2019
影响因子：
7
通讯作者：
T. Husby
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
M. Thissen;F. V. van Oort;P. McCann;R. Ortega;T. Husby
摘要 任何形式的英国脱欧都会在行业和地区方面对英国和欧洲企业的竞争地位产生不同程度的影响。英国脱欧条件的持续不确定性给结构性评估这些影响带来了困难。利用欧盟独特详细的商品和服务区域间贸易数据，我们采用了一种新颖的方法，将企业竞争地位对（非）关税壁垒的区域部门敏感性（弹性）与英国脱欧后不同的英国-欧盟贸易情景的影响区分开来。这使我们能够独立于情景得出企业脱欧的竞争机会和脆弱性的经济地理，以及围绕这些影响的不确定性程度。我们的分析表明，由于英国通过全球价值链对欧盟的依赖，英国地区的不利国际竞争脆弱性远大于欧盟其他地区。英国脱欧对企业竞争地位的影响意味着，在英国国内，英国脱欧可能会加剧地区间的不平等。相比之下，欧洲地区间的不平等实际上可能会下降，具体取决于英国脱欧后英国与欧盟贸易安排的性质。此外，对脱欧后安排性质的关键政治关注似乎是错误的，因为大多数英国地区对协议的具体性质相当不敏感。因此，英国脱欧的经济地理影响似乎在很大程度上与英国国内政治叙事无关。
Abstract Any form of Brexit will impact heterogeneously in terms of sectors and regions on the competitive position of firms in both the UK and Europe. The ongoing uncertainty about the conditions under which the UK will be leaving the EU creates difficulties in structurally estimating these impacts. Using uniquely detailed interregional trade data on goods and services for the EU, we apply a novel methodology that disentangles region-sector sensitivities (elasticities) of firms’ competitive positions to (non)tariff barriers from the implications of different post-Brexit UK–EU trade scenarios. This enables us to derive the economic geography of competitive opportunities and vulnerabilities of Brexit of firms, along with the degree of uncertainty that surrounds these effects, independently from scenarios. Our analysis demonstrates that the adverse international competitive vulnerabilities of UK regions are much larger than those of the rest of the EU due to the dependency of the UK on the EU via global value chains. The impact on the competitive positions of firms means that within the UK, Brexit is likely to increase interregional inequalities. In contrast, interregional inequalities across Europe may actually fall, depending on the nature of the post-Brexit UK–EU trading arrangements. Moreover, the key political focus on the nature of the post-Brexit arrangements appears to be misplaced in that most UK regions are rather insensitive to the specific nature of the deal. As such, the economic geography implications of Brexit appear to be largely unrelated to UK domestic political narratives.
影响因子：
2.1
作者：
Swati Dhingra;S. Machin;H. Overman
通讯作者：
Swati Dhingra;S. Machin;H. Overman
区域间不平等和英国地方治理对脱欧的反应
影响因子：
4.6
作者：
Billing C
通讯作者：
Billing C