Universal Digital Twin – the impact of heat pumps on social inequality
Universal Digital Twin – the impact of heat pumps on social inequality
复制标题
通用数字孪生——热泵对社会不平等的影响
DOI：
10.1016/j.adapen.2021.100079
复制
发表时间：
2021
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
M. Kraft
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Thomas Savage;J. Akroyd;S. Mosbach;M. Hillman;F. Sielker;M. Kraft
本文研究了使用热泵进行家庭供暖将如何影响燃料贫困和社会不平等。该分析整合了基于World Avatar知识图的Universal Digital Twin基础世界的气候观测，天然气和电力基础设施，能源消耗和燃料贫困的地理空间描述。历史温度数据用于估计英国空气源热泵性能的时间和地理空间变化。估计了使用热泵而不是天然气用于家庭供暖可能实现的天然气和电力消耗的相应变化。热泵的地理空间影响进行了评估，在二氧化碳的节省，其对燃料成本和燃料贫困的影响。虽然热泵可以减少排放，但预计它们会增加燃料成本。结果表明，燃料高度贫困的地方和区域将经历燃料成本的最大增长。这说明向可持续供暖过渡可能会加剧社会不平等。分析表明，现有的区域不平等将增加，这归结为一个政治选择，即支持最有效地使用热泵的投资，以及推迟投资以消除社会不平等。“世界化身”能够整合执行此类整体分析所需的模型和数据，这为生成可采取行动的信息提供了一种手段，例如，使地方政策干预能够解决社会和环境目标之间的矛盾。
This paper investigates how using heat pumps for domestic heating would impact fuel poverty and social inequality. The analysis integrates a geospatial description of climate observations, gas and electricity infrastructure, energy consumption and fuel poverty from the base world of a Universal Digital Twin based on the World Avatar knowledge graph. Historic temperature data were used to estimate the temporal and geospatial variation of the performance of air source heat pumps in the UK. The corresponding change in gas and electricity consumption that could be achieved using heat pumps instead of gas for domestic heating was estimated. The geospatial impact of the heat pumps was assessed in terms of CO 2 savings, and their effect on fuel cost and fuel poverty. Whilst heat pumps would reduce emissions, it is predicted that they would increase fuel costs. It was shown that both local and regional areas of high fuel poverty would experience some of the largest increases in fuel cost. This illustrates the potential for the transition to sustainable heating to exacerbate social inequality. The analysis suggests that existing regional inequalities will increase, and that it comes down to a political choice between investments to support the most effective use of heat pumps, and delayed investments to counter social inequality. The ability of the World Avatar to integrate the models and data necessary to perform this type of holistic analysis provides a means to generate actionable information, for example, to enable local policy interventions to address the tension between social and environmental goals.
影响因子：
32.5
作者：
I. Staffell;D. Brett;N. Brandon;A. Hawkes
通讯作者：
I. Staffell;D. Brett;N. Brandon;A. Hawkes
影响因子：
6.7
作者：
Giridharan, R.;Kolokotroni, M.
通讯作者：
Kolokotroni, M.