China’s changing internal migration: patterns, causes, policy implications

中国不断变化的国内人口流动：模式、原因、政策影响

• 批准号: DP230103060
• 负责人: A/Prof Yan Tan
• 金额: $ 25.1万
• 依托单位: The University of Adelaide
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2023-01-01 至 2025-12-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP230103060
• 关键词: China; changing; internal; migration; patterns

China’s massive internal migration is no longer simply rural–urban and circular but highly diversified. The project aims to unravel that transition: its patterns, causes, and effects. Using 2020 census data and major longitudinal datasets, a China variant of Zelinsky’s classic mobility transition theory will be developed and deployed to identify underlying mechanisms. Among expected outcomes are powerful methods for assessing spatio-temporal migration patterns and causes, applicable to many economies especially in the Asia–Pacific. Benefits should include a new evidence base for migration and related urban–rural policy in China; and for Australia, policy inputs to improve prosperity through better relations with our biggest trading partner.

中国大规模的内部人口流动不再是简单的城乡流动和循环流动，而是高度多元化的流动。该项目旨在揭示这种转变：其模式、原因和影响。本文将利用2020年人口普查数据和主要纵向数据集，开发并部署泽林斯基经典流动过渡理论的中国变体，以确定潜在的机制。预期成果之一是评估时空迁移模式和原因的有力方法，适用于许多经济体，特别是亚太地区的经济体。收益应包括为中国的移民和相关的城乡政策提供新的证据基础；对澳大利亚来说，通过改善与我们最大的贸易伙伴的关系来促进繁荣的政策投入。