Dynamics of Organizational Populations

这个建议是开发和测试组织增长和衰退的数学模型。提出了五种模型，它们在组织内部和外部环境的过程细节上有所不同。目标是理解在长时间跨度内塑造组织结构的力量，并为解释组织变革如何在社会中产生变化提供理论结构。这项工作是在PI和合作者之前的工作基础上发展起来的。PI将与工会、银行、生命保险公司、酿酒厂等不同行业的创立、成长、死亡数据进行比较，评价模型。该项目旨在发展一套理论和方法工具，跨越特定类型的组织，用于组织生态学的进一步研究。

This proposal is to develop and test mathematical models of the growth and decline of organizations. Five models, differing in details of processes internal to organizations and of their external surrounding, are proposed. The goal is to understand forces shaping organizational structures over long time spans, and to provide a theoretical structure for explaining how or- ganizational change produces changes in society. The work grows out of previous work by the PI and collaborators. PI will evaluate models by comparison with data on the founding, growth, and mortality of diverse industries: labor unions, banks, life insurance firms, and breweries. The project seeks to develop a set of theories and methodological tools cutting across specific types of organizations, for use in further studies of organi- zational ecology.