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The Bias Toward Omissions: Causes, Effects on Public Decisions, Individual Differences and Debiasing

The Bias Toward Omissions: Causes, Effects on Public Decisions, Individual Differences and Debiasing
对遗漏的偏见:原因、对公共决策的影响、个体差异和消除偏见
批准号:
9109763
负责人:
Jonathan Baron
金额:
$3.54万
依托单位:
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Standard Grant
财政年份:
1991
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
1991-09-15 至 1993-02-28

项目摘要

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中文摘要
翻译
先前的研究表明,人们往往倾向于遗漏。 本提案审查了这种偏见。 一个假设是人们 忽视不作为的后果,他们比较 行动的后果。 本研究也 考察了遗漏偏倚发生的条件,其 对公共决策(如全球 气候变暖),其与其他影响的关系,如现状 成本效应、沉没成本效应和额外成本效应; 遗漏偏差和相关偏差的个体差异,如何 人们可能会去偏见,即,被说服忽略 不相关的作为和不作为之间的区别h, 为什么他们有时会抵制这种劝说 空军将 给学生,博物馆参观者,和市民谁是 特别关注所解决的问题。 结果 可以为关于各种公共政策的讨论提供信息, 问题,如环境风险,公众价值评估, 物资、疫苗接种和撤回维持生命的医疗用品 治疗
英文摘要
Prior work indicates that people are often biased toward omissions. This proposal examines this bias. One hypothesis is that people ignore the consequences of inaction and they compare the consequences of action to the status quo. This research also examines the conditions under which omission bias occurs, its effect on judgements about public decisions (such as global warming), its relation to other effects such as the status-quo effect, the sunk-cost effect and the extra-cost effect; individual differences in omission bias and related biases, how people might be debiased, i.e., persuaded to ignore the distinctionh between acts and omissions when it is irrelevant and why they sometimes resist such persuasion. Questionaires will be given to students, museum visitors, and citizens who are particularly concerned about the issues addressed. The results could inform discussions of public policy concerning a variety of issues, such as environmental risks, valuation of public goods, vaccinations and withdrawal of life-sustaining medical treatment.
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会议论文
Doctoral Dissertation Research in DRMS: On the Evaluation of Beliefs: A Method for Assessing Credibility in Subjective Probability Judgment
  • 批准号:
    1658685
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
  • 资助金额:
    $1.59万
  • 财政年份:
    2017
  • 负责人:
    Jonathan Baron
  • 依托单位:
Inconsistency and bias in thinking about tax reform
  • 批准号:
    0213409
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
  • 资助金额:
    $0.0万
  • 财政年份:
    2002
  • 负责人:
    Jonathan Baron
  • 依托单位:
Heuristics for Resource Allocation
  • 批准号:
    9876469
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
  • 资助金额:
    $4.53万
  • 财政年份:
    1999
  • 负责人:
    Jonathan Baron
  • 依托单位:
Development of a Theory of Values and Their Measurement
  • 批准号:
    9520288
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
  • 资助金额:
    $13.49万
  • 财政年份:
    1995
  • 负责人:
    Jonathan Baron
  • 依托单位:
国内基金
海外基金
Toward a general theory of intermittent aeolian and fluvial nonsuspended sediment transport
  • 批准号:
    --
  • 项目类别:
    --
  • 资助金额:
    55万元
  • 批准年份:
    2022
  • 负责人:
    Thomas Pahtz
  • 依托单位: