Analytical Techniques for Probabilistic Production Costing, Geographically Differentiated Marginal Cost, and Reliability Indices in Interconnected Power Systems

小行星9412712 本建议的主要目标是发展一个现实的和可行的方法，在互联电力系统的概率生产成本和边际成本计算。 概率生产成本和可靠性评估是电力系统概率建模的两个相互关联的领域。 多区域可靠性分析方法的一些新进展将有助于解决生产成本计算中的问题，同样，在拟议的研究中，生产成本计算中的一些问题的解决将导致多区域可靠性分析技术的能力的增强。 最终产品预计将是一个综合的方法，生产成本，边际成本和可靠性指标。 已经确定了几个问题，其解决方案将提供互联电力系统的概率生产成本建模的显着进步，并导致可行的解决方案。 这些问题是： 找到一个分解模拟程序， 考虑到所有负载状态，可以在 每一个单元的加法都是通过一次分解来实现的。 找到确定产量的有效技术 成本和地域差异边际成本。 开发更准确的建模方法， 互联电力系统中的相关区域负荷 系统 制定一种方法， 分解过程中的传输模型。 制定一种方法， 在分解过程中的交换。 研究DC流与网络流模型。 寻找与区域范围相关的问题的解决方案 调度中心 发展对一个国家提供同等援助的概念， 环状网络 研究连续分布的使用。 找到分解的并行算法- 仿真过程 ***

9412712 Singh The primary objective of this proposal is development of a realistic and viable methodology for probabilistic production cost and marginal cost calculations in interconnected power systems. Probabilistic production cost and reliability evaluation are two interrelated areas of probabilistic modeling of power systems. Some recent advancements in multi-area reliability analysis methods will contribute to the proposed solution of problems in production costing, and similarly the solution of some problems in production cost calculation in the proposed research will lead to enhancement of the capability of multi-area reliability analysis techniques. The end product is expected to be an integrated approach for production cost, marginal cost, and reliability indices. Several problems have been identifies whose solution will provide significant advancement of the probabilistic production cost modeling of interconnected power systems and to lead to viable solutions. These problems are: Find a decomposition-simulation procedure which, considering all loads states, can find indices after each unit addition by single decomposition. Find efficient techniques for determining production cost and geographically differentiated marginal cost. Develop methods for more accurate modeling of correlated area loads in an interconnected power system. Develop a methodology for incorporating load dependent transmission model in the decomposition process. Develop a methodology for incorporating time dependent interchanges in the decomposition process. Investigate DC Flow vs Network Flow model. Find solutions to problems associated with area-wide dispatch. Develop the concept of equivalent assistance for a looped network. Investigate the use of continuous distributions. Find an algorithm for parallelization of the decomposition- simulation p rocess ***