Collaborative Research on Domestic and International Conflict Linkages

9423192戴维斯的社会科学理论观点传统上将国内和国际冲突视为独立的。然而，调查人员认为，这种联系是存在的，对于理解国内或国际一级的冲突动态是重要的。最近的历史提供了许多国内和国际冲突联系的例子，包括海湾战争后伊拉克的库尔德起义、阿根廷入侵福克兰群岛/马尔维纳斯群岛以及尼加拉瓜的反政府战争。然而，这种联系是作为冲突行为的一般模式存在的，还是只在国家间危机、战争、骚乱和叛乱等重大事件中表现出来？目前的调查将回答这个问题，涉及正在经历自由化和/或面临种族民族主义挑战的中等强国。它还将通过发展和测试国内-国际冲突联系的动态理论，帮助解决文献中存在的弱点。在埃默里大学和全球合作与冲突研究所的支持下，该项目已经进行了一年。在此期间，调查人员确定了一个理论模型，制定了收集相关数据的编码方案，并开始收集8个案件的数据。他们的模型建立在国际关系文献中研究民族国家之间的冲突和合作行为的工作基础上。此外，研究小组利用最近对两级模型的呼吁，认为最好澄清这种联系的方法是，国内敌对国家、国家本身和国际体系中其他相关国家的团体都在监督和回应彼此在冲突情况下的行为。换句话说，调查人员开发了一种模式，在这种模式下，这些参与者中的任何一个的行为都被认为受到其他每个参与者的行为的制约。***

9423192 Davis Theoretical perspectives in the social sciences have traditionally treated domestic and international conflict as independent. However, the investigators contend that linkages exist and are important for understanding the dynamics of conflict at either the domestic or international levels. Recent history provides numerous examples of domestic and international conflict linkages including the Kurdish uprising in Iraq following the Gulf War, the Argentine invasion of the Falklands/Malvinas Islands, and the Contra War in Nicaragua. Yet, do such linkages exist as general patterns of conflict behavior or are they only manifest during significant events such as inter-state crises, wars, riots and rebellions? The current investigation will answer that question with respect to middle powers that are undergoing liberalization and/or facing ethno- nationalist challenges. It will also help address the weaknesses that exist within the literature by developing and testing a dynamic theory of domestic-international conflict linkages. The project has been underway for one year with support from Emory University and the Institute for Global cooperation and Conflict. During that time the investigators have specified a theoretical model, developed a coding scheme for collecting relevant data and begun the data collection on eight cases. their model builds on work in the international relations literature that examines conflictual and cooperative behavior among nation-states. In addition, the research team makes use of the recent call for two-level modelling and contend that the linkage can best be clarified by arguing that domestic groups hostile to the state, the state itself, and relevant other states in the international system all monitor, and respond to, one another's behavior in conflict situations. In other words, the investigators develop a modes where the behavior of any of these actors is argued to be conditioned by the behavior of each of the other actors. ***