Electoral Competition with Endogenous Voter Preferences

具有内生选民偏好的选举竞争

• 批准号: 9511469
• 负责人: John Jackson
• 金额: $ 4.6万
• 依托单位: Regents of the University of Michigan - Ann Arbor
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 1995
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1995-08-15 至 1997-07-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9511469&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Electoral; Competition; Endogenous; Voter; Preferences

The spatial model of electoral competition first proposed by Anthony Downs and subsequently extended by many authors is a core part of formal political theory. It has been and is currently used to study a wide variety of electoral processes and political institutions and its properties under many alternative conditions are now well known. All of this work, however, maintains the assumption that voters' preferences are exogenously given and can be treated as fixed while studying the behavior of competing parties and candidates. This makes all the resulting predictions conditional on this assumption. Empirical studies of voter preferences, by contrast, have connected changes in preferences to the platforms and actions of competing parties and candidates. The proposed research will connect these two literatures by developing a model of electoral competition that makes preferences endogenous, meaning that they co-evolve with party platforms during the election process. The model will then be explored to ascertain its implications for the existence of stable outcomes, for the ability to predict these outcomes based on initial conditions and assumptions about party behavior, and for its dynamic properties. The assumption of fixed preferences can be treated as a special case of this general model.

选举竞争的空间模型首先由安东尼·唐斯提出，随后被许多作者推广，是正式政治理论的核心部分。它过去和现在都被用来研究各种各样的选举进程和政治机构，它在许多替代条件下的性质现在是众所周知的。然而，所有这些工作都维持了这样一个假设，即选民的偏好是外在给定的，可以在研究竞争政党和候选人的行为时被视为固定的。这使得所有由此产生的预测都以这一假设为条件。相比之下，对选民偏好的实证研究将偏好的变化与竞争政党和候选人的政纲和行动联系起来。这项拟议的研究将通过建立一个选举竞争模型将这两个文献联系起来，该模型使偏好内生，意味着它们在选举过程中与政党纲领共同进化。然后将探索该模型，以确定其对稳定结果的存在、基于关于政党行为的初始条件和假设预测这些结果的能力以及其动态属性的影响。固定偏好的假设可以视为这一一般模型的特例。